20 other. Wars are notorious for yielding unintended and unexpected consequences; for reasons explained below, a war against Iran is even harder than usual to bound analytically. Complexity, Uncertainty and War Our first consideration in analyzing the likely course of war with...
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From: Jeffrey Epstein [[email protected]] Sent: 2/11/2013 5:45:09 PM To: Larry Summers_______________________ Subject: prep for dinner, israel pres briefing / The Wall Street Journal The Ayatollah Always Says No Editorial February 8, 2013 --The Farsi word for "no" is na h, wh...
16 see Colonel Qaddafi gone, he also said that the air war was unlikely to accomplish that by itself. Most important, he vowed that there would be no American ground troops in this fight. “If we tried to overthrow Qaddafi by force,” he said, “our coalition would splinter.” He sa...
/ BARAK / 136 of uniformed US personnel. The focus was, of all things, on defense against a missile attack from Iran. I contacted Leon Panetta to see whether we could delay it. The official reason cited by the Americans, when they agreed to do it, did have the merit of being tru...
/ BARAK / 140 program back by years. And even if the Iranians knew it was coming, they’d be able to do nothing to stop it. “Our problem, Mr, President,” I said, “is that we can’t be sure our friend will show up. Since Iran is already very nearly in a zone of immunity against an...
The most effective resolution would be a negotiated outcome -- to achieve it, Washington will need to take preliminary steps on several fronts. A serious compromise needs to be put on the table, including an offer to suspend crippling oil sanctions in return for specific, verifia...
The most effective resolution would be a negotiated outcome -- to achieve it, Washington will need to take preliminary steps on several fronts. A serious compromise needs to be put on the table, including an offer to suspend crippling oil sanctions in return for specific, verifia...
the post of Head of Military Intelligence. He knew the importance of intelligence, and the potential cost of Israel being taken by surprise in a future war, having been part of the top military leadership during Rotem. He was energetic, bright, and exuded an infectious sense of s...
Article 1. The National Interest Which Road Will Egypt Take? Kathryn Alexeeff May 19, 2014 -- With Abdul Fattah al-Sisi’s official resignation from the military and bid for the presidency, the future of Egypt looks murky at best. While his victory is highly likely, the questi...
close ties with the Egyptian military, which still receives $1.3 billion in American aid each year. American officials hope that whatever government emerges will continue to support American policy, including maintaining ties with Israel and distance from Iran. At the same time,...
IN RE TERRORIST ATTACKS ON SEPTEMBER 11, 2001 Cite as 349 F.Supp.2d 765 (S.D.N.Y. 2005) 765 tain general jurisdiction over them, all claims asserted against those individual defendants are dismissed for lack of personal jurisdiction. 3. Plaintiffs Are Entitled to Jurisdictional...
Under this structure, Hezbollah's militia and terrorist activities, along with its security organ, all report to the Jihad Council. Until he was killed, Mughniyeh was Hezbollah's top militant commander and reportedly led the Jihad Council himself. By some accounts, he also held a...
/ BARAK / 132 its terror attack on a Pan American airliner in the late 1980s. Or, as in South Africa, that a change in nuclear policy might come from a change in régime in Tehran. Yet realistically, we couldn’t count on either. And there was no doubt in our minds that a nuclear...
BREAKING DOWN DEMOCRACY: Goals, Strategies, and Methods of Modern Authoritarians in Ukraine, the Maidan uprising of 2013-14, forced him to flee to Russia after a bloody crackdown failed to disperse the demonstrators. Among other things, the episode shattered the old political es...
/ BARAK / 131 whether that would even be possible to strike before the Iranians entered their “zone of immunity” — the point at which the amount of damage we could do to their nuclear program would be too negligible to be worth the operational, political and diplomatic risks fro...