…-17 best-of 95% put on NKY/KOSPI2/HSI 05-Jun-17 0.80% Sep-17 expiry Buy best-of puts to hedge a reversal in rally with the low vol and correlation environment Buy SPX Top50 volatility dispersion 05-Jun-17 16.6% — Jun-18 expiry Position for a potential bubble in Tech Buy XLF 24...
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Eurozone equities Euro Stoxx (27 June): 217 (last month: 215) UBS View Euro Stoxx (6-month target): 223 ¢ The crisis in the Eurozone will remain the main driver in the coming months. After the elections in Greece, progress on the reform program will be closely monitored. Spain a...
So though no inherent enmity exists between the two countries, a crack emerges. Each side finds reasons not to cooperate. A shared interest in peace - neither side wants a collision, both understand the costs - is shimmied apart by a perception gap. Cultural, historical, temperam...
…anies and 700 attendees at our Future of Financials conference, where investor attendance was up an impressive 66% YoY. The tone from management and investors was uniformly bullish, with more generalists attending than we've seen in previous years. When asked how they would descr...
…idential election that helped boost bank stocks by 12%, bank management teams were generally optimistic with regards to the economic outlook heading into 2017. Greater fiscal stimulus that is expected to spur economic growth coupled with potential regulatory relief has helped imp...
…ft in reserve? We forecast USD/CNY to rise to 7.25 by year-end 2017 based on sustained capital outflows from China and the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) allowing the exchange rate to depreciate accordingly. A key change in the PBoC’s new FX regime, announced in August 2015, is t...
… triggers curve steepening and vol rise Bo) keeps yield curve anchored out to 10y: 1y10s20s conditional bear steepener The Bank of Japan (Bo)) has faced a tough 2016. Having switched its policy target from quantity to interest rates at its September Monetary Policy Meeting, it t...
CHART 2: THE LI KEQIANG INDEX VERSUS CHINESE REAL GDP GROWTH 30% 16% 15% 9 25% 1aBe 20% 13% 12% 15% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 0, 5% ai 0% ov 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 ML) Kegiang Index (Left Hand Side) Furthermore, CHART 3 shows that, directionally, the Li Keqiang Index maps pretty w...
…Investment Strategy Group, Haver Analytics. Exhibit 37: National Association of Home Builders US Housing Market Index The post-crisis high in builder confidence bodes well for US residential investment. Index Level 80 5 70 4 60 1 50 + 40 5 30 4 Q + 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010...
Financial Services During the four previous years of Hensarling’s chairmanship, most of the committee’s major bills died quietly in the Senate, such as efforts to repeal much of Dodd-Frank (the CHOICE Act), impose substantial reforms upon the Fed, restructure the CFPB and strip...
The Scowcroft Group 900 17th Street, NW • Suite 500 Washington DC 20006 Phone www.scowcroft.com From: Kevin Neater Date: November 14, 2015 Terrorism - Metrojet and Paris Mark Externalization of ISIS Threat It has been a consensus view in the US and Europe that the dangers posed b...
crisis, they were declared and (made) clear-cut. There was no need to unleash predictions in this respect,” His Highness said. Al Hayat Newspaper - Shafiq Al Asadi YYour Highness, do you feel that Dubai is threatened as a result of the current crisis? We did not at any time fee...
while professional community portals such as Business Fights Poverty and the Guardian Global
the PE-ratio of the market is relatively high compared to the global average
by merging the foreign operations of China Global