Best Technical Trades Paul Ciana, CMT MLPF&S [email protected] Technical trends for Trump ¢ Bullish USD: Breadth and technicals favor USD. Overall they point to a stronger US dollar in 2017. We are bullish USD/JPY. ¢ Higher yields: US 10y and 30y yield made large wedge botto...
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Table 9: Summary of open trades as of 19-Jun-17 Open Open __ Expected Date Level Trade Term 6.9% (FB), 1.2% (AMZN), 9.4% (NFLX), 6.2% (GOOGL) Trade Description Rationale Buy 6m ATM calls on FB, AMZN, NFLX and GOOGL 30-May-17 Stock replace FANG stocks Buy a 6m outperformance c...
Eurozone equities Euro Stoxx (27 June): 217 (last month: 215) UBS View Euro Stoxx (6-month target): 223 ¢ The crisis in the Eurozone will remain the main driver in the coming months. After the elections in Greece, progress on the reform program will be closely monitored. Spain a...
Conference tone bullish into 2017 We recently hosted over 90 public and private companies and 700 attendees at our Future of Financials conference, where investor attendance was up an impressive 66% YoY. The tone from management and investors was uniformly bullish, with more gen...
European volatility: Sector snapshot Table 5: Volatility measures and indicative option prices for major European sector indices (data as of 16-Jun-17) Bearish — <<<< ---------------------eecnnnenccnnencecnennncnnnnes >>>> Bullish 3Mth ATMf implied 3Mth 90%-110% risk Equity vol...
rc errti—“(iCssssi‘CSCSOCO LUDO Banks Takeaways With our conference coming a week following a historic US presidential election that helped boost bank stocks by 12%, bank management teams were generally optimistic with regards to the economic outlook heading into 2017. Greater f...
Stress testing CNY Claudio Piron Yang Chen Merrill Lynch (Singapore) Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong) [email protected] [email protected] Gabriele Foa Ronald Man MLI (UK) Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong) [email protected] [email protected] SiEESS testing CNY We stress test China’...
Tail risk 4: Bo) triggers curve steepening and vol rise Bo) keeps yield curve anchored out to 10y: 1y10s20s conditional bear steepener The Bank of Japan (Bo)) has faced a tough 2016. Having switched its policy target from quantity to interest rates at its September Monetary Poli...
CHART 2: THE LI KEQIANG INDEX VERSUS CHINESE REAL GDP GROWTH 30% 16% 15% 9 25% 1aBe 20% 13% 12% 15% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 0, 5% ai 0% ov 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 ML) Kegiang Index (Left Hand Side) Furthermore, CHART 3 shows that, directionally, the Li Keqiang Index maps pretty w...
Exhibit 36: Contribution from Change in Inventories to US GDP Growth Inventories should support growth after five quarters of subtracting from GDP. Recession Contribution Percentage Points, 5-Quarter Moving Total 14 5 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 Data through 03...
Financial Services During the four previous years of Hensarling’s chairmanship, most of the committee’s major bills died quietly in the Senate, such as efforts to repeal much of Dodd-Frank (the CHOICE Act), impose substantial reforms upon the Fed, restructure the CFPB and strip...
From: [email protected] To: Undisclosed recipients:;; Subject: On today's financial market developments Sent: 8/4/2011 11:41:48 PM Attachments: 08-04-11 - EOTM - Market update.pdf This is a little unorthodox, but here is the text of an internal note that I just sent to our in...
crisis, they were declared and (made) clear-cut. There was no need to unleash predictions in this respect,” His Highness said. Al Hayat Newspaper - Shafiq Al Asadi YYour Highness, do you feel that Dubai is threatened as a result of the current crisis? We did not at any time fee...
while professional community portals such as Business Fights Poverty and the Guardian Global
the PE-ratio of the market is relatively high compared to the global average