Case 1:19-cv-03377 Document 1-8 Filed 04/16/19 Page 9 of 16 http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2003/03/jeffrey-epstein-200303 following its discovery that he had committed a possible “Reg D” violation—evidently he had lent money to his closest friend. (In the 1989 deposition he sai...
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Global Utility White Paper CONFIDENTIAL underperformance -39%, QE2 -12%, QE3 -5%), which signals exhaustion of selling pressure as the relative value of the S&P versus utilities has stretched further. Given widespread use of QE, a similar effect can be found in other regions. U...
The third concern: Germany as paymaster. We are often told that Germans across both major parties are unflinching supporters of the European project, and will do whatever it takes to prevent a break-up. The objections from members of the Bundesbank are described as lonely voices...
Financial Services Republicans’ retention of the House and Senate majorities means that President-elect Trump will have partners in both banking committees to help implement an agenda heavy on deregulation. The new Senate Banking Committee chairman will be Mike Crapo (R-ID), who...
From: jeffrey E. [[email protected]] Sent: 5/19/2014 10:37:05 AM To: Peter Thiel Subject: That was fun , see you in 3 weeks FP Briefing non- classified 19 May, 2014 Article 1. The National Interest Which Road Will Egypt Take? Kathryn Alexeeff Article 2. Now Lebanon What S...
We may see some fireworks in US-China relations during the Trump administration. With respect to trade, President-elect Trump can use any one of six US statutes, including the Trading with the Enemy Act of 1917 and the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977, to shif...
EM Growth? TABLE 1 highlights data from the 10 largest emerging mar- kets, which account for 89.2% of the MSCI Emerging Mar- kets Index. The growth prospects of this group appear sur- prisingly tepid. The median real GDP growth for the next five years is forecasted at 2.5%, while...
We estimate that it is in 3yly, 2y2y and 2y1ly that the selloff would be largest (75-85bp — see Table 5) were the OIS curve to align with the median dots up to end of 2019. Options are attractive to position for a selloff in those forwards for two main reasons: 1. Volatilities...
Chart 16: SAN, BNP, ING, ISP and DBK average 6M ATMf implied vol is Chart 17: Despite the recent drop in realized correlation, implied trading historically low (13" percentile since 2008) correlation is priced near the high end of the reaiised range for the basket of EU banks...
enemy’s territory without ever possessing it, for instance, if it can manage to own the crucial topological infrastructures: banks, databases, communications systems. One nation might be able to pwn another in this bloodless fashion. Networks, you recall we said, will break natio...
Eye on the Market | July 25, 2011 J.P Morgan Topics: US debt ceiling negotiations, a more ambitious European bailout plan (finally), and how large cap growth stocks and rising corporate profits are patiently waiting for both of them to end The third concern: Germany as paymaste...
connected, and by the speed and thickness of that connection. The topology of Wall Street in the 1920s, for instance, was largely defined by who happened to come to the trading floor on a given day; today it is a global landscape, influenced by news, rumors and real-time profit t...
procedures; and improving the transparency and speed of the system for settling disputes. Next, the U.S. needs to keep the WTO current with a vastly changed world economy. The past WTO agreements are valuable for all 158 WTO members. But some economies want to go further by redu...
fracturing of ancient China during the Spring and Autumn era or in the Roman Empire in the age of the Caesars. Our current shifting — that tap, tap on every nation’s politics, media, and economics - isn’t really so unpredictable after all. 242 You may know the old saw of militar...
Industrial production Unemployment rates - core vs. periphery index, 100 = January 2007 Percent, Peripheral rates weighted by population 41 18% rie — Greece, Ireland, Spain & Portugal 16% 105. 14% 100 17% i 10% od B% 85 G% Germany ad Ao, a aa 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0% aa ae ;...