Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Japan Macro Watch USD/JPY: Buy-on-dip cycle to continue; 115- 120 by end-2017 Buy-on-dip cycle continues While we had acknowledged the risk of the “final JPY strength” th...
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…last month. So our central case is French political risk caps markets to the upside for Q1 and most of Q2 but that the centre right candidate Fillon is elected President. As Gilles Moec argues, his pro-market reformist agenda could unlock French growth and we think it could prov...
this is the source of the existential risk from superintelligent AI cited in
For research purposes, loneliness is typically measured on a continuum that ranges from not at all lonely (.e., socially connected) to very lonely. It is informative, however, to get a sense of the prevalence of loneliness when assessed as present or absent. Loneliness is a commo...
November 21, 2011 Topic: The quixotic search for energy solutions Another Don Quixote Thanksgiving. Every year at Thanksgiving 1 , we look in-depth at an issue that affects markets and portfolios. Last year, we examined the unraveling situation in Europe. Unfortunately, most con...
were told that they would receive no medicine at all. The researchers at- tempted to assess the combined impact of many different kinds of trials using meta-analysis, a statistical technique for extracting information from studies that are not statistically significant by them- s...
FRONTLINES world that will allow researchers to re-create and study how a com- plete ecosystem, such as Arctic tundra or boreal forest, responds to climate change. The Biotron, Hiiner says, is “as close as you can get to nature [in a lab].” The Biotron will help integrate biolog...
could “cure” many ailments. Mesmer became highly sought after in Paris, where he would routinely “mesmerize” his followers—one of whom was Marie Antoinette. The King wasn’t buying it, however, and he asked a commission of the French Academy of Sciences to look into the claims. (T...
1 The Computational Structure of Mental Representation Joscha Bach [email protected] Berlin, February 26th, 2013 Now is the time for starting a new Artificial Intelligence initiative. What is the mind? –this is arguably the most interesting question that our species can a...
Restructuring the University 167 Where is causation worried about? Nearly everywhere. Anyone in the social sciences or in any practical discipline worries about causation. So, should departments be organized around the twelve cognitive processes? Probably not. It would be diff...
From: Jeffrey Epstein [[email protected]] Sent: 2/11/2013 5:45:09 PM To: Larry Summers_______________________ Subject: prep for dinner, israel pres briefing / The Wall Street Journal The Ayatollah Always Says No Editorial February 8, 2013 --The Farsi word for "no" is na h, wh...
Global Utility White Paper CONFIDENTIAL 6. Interest Rate Risk —-A Common Misperception We find a common misperception among investors to be the degree of interest rate risk in the global utility sector, as interest rate sensitivity has declined steadily since the modern utility...
Downside risks are: 1) integration risk from smartwatches and other wearables cannibalizing the fitness tracker market, 2) fad risk, as fitness trackers could be simply a fitness fad with consumers, 3) competitive risk from competitors out-innovating, and 4) execution risk on cha...
Global Equity Volatility Insights Bankof America Why S&P vol dispersion may be the best Merrill Lynch way to trade a bubble in Tech 06 June 2017 US Equity Derivatives Global How to detect and position for a potential Tech Bubble Our investment strategists recently warned again...
Calibrating the Al-Risk Message While uncannily prescient, the AI-risk message from the original dissidents has a giant flaw—as does the version dominating current public discourse: Both considerably understate the magnitude of the problem as well as AI’s potential upside. The m...