Table 10: Statistics on implied, realised, skew and term structure for 3-month and 12-month vols (emerging markets) 10-day realised 12M - 3M term vol spread EEM US IBOV RDXUSD TOP40 EEM US IBOV RDXUSD TOP40 Current Level 10.4% 13.2% 18.5% 11.0% 24% 18% 11% 2.3% %atile (2yr) 4.2...
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EM Growth? TABLE 1 highlights data from the 10 largest emerging mar- kets, which account for 89.2% of the MSCI Emerging Mar- kets Index. The growth prospects of this group appear sur- prisingly tepid. The median real GDP growth for the next five years is forecasted at 2.5%, while...
Alex Flachsbart gives a presentation on opportunity zones in Athens, Alabama. Photographer: Nicole Craine/Bloomberg When he read about opportunity zones in a 2017 draft of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, his mind reeled. Here was an uncapped subsidy far more flexible than anything he...
a ROCKEFELLER NY ASSET MANAGEMENT November 1, 2017 A “Vixing” Puzzle | Market’s unusual lack of volatility; Be fearful when others are greedy ctober has historically been a spooky month in which some of the biggest market declines took place — the crash of 1929, 1987’s Blac...
Global Financial Data reports annual rate of return, growth rate in market cap, and “imputed dividend rate” as the difference. Dividend rate itself is reported as something a little different. | made no attempt to get to the bottom of this distinction, just as | made none to allo...
acceleration = free acceleration + thrift acceleration. (4.5b) Rates are flows divided by capital expressing them. Then define the two flows as free growth = capital * freeacceleration, and (4.8) thrift = capital * thriftacceleration, giving (4.9) growth = free growth + thrift....
Chart 16: SAN, BNP, ING, ISP and DBK average 6M ATMf implied vol is Chart 17: Despite the recent drop in realized correlation, implied trading historically low (13" percentile since 2008) correlation is priced near the high end of the reaiised range for the basket of EU banks...
Key charts Chart 1: Synchronised rise in leading indicators globally augurs well for earnings recovery — especially if PMIs kick on to or above mid-50s 65 60 60 40 55 20 50 0 45 40 20 35 ; 40 —— (SM / Euro PMI manuf alg (advanced 9m) 30 =———=|\iSCI Europe EPS € (trailing yo...
The BRIDGE platform currently comprises investments of between €20-120 million each, in 17 European infrastructure transactions. In 2016 alone, the BRIDGE team has achieved financial close for 11 infrastructure deals in Europe aggregating ca. €390m. When benchmarked against other...
EMEA - Utilities Coverage Cluster BofA Merrill Lynch Investment rating Company ticker Bloomberg symbol Analyst BUY EDF ECIFF EDF FP Peter Bisztyga EDP EDPFY EDPFY US Harry Wyburd EDP ELCPF EDP PL Harry Wyburd EDP Renovaveis EDRVF EDPR PL Pinaki Das Enel ESOCF ENEL IM Harry Wyb...
EMEA - Telecoms Coverage Cluster BofA Merrill Lynch Investment rating Company ticker Bloomberg symbol Analyst BUY BT BT BT US Sunil P. Pate BT BIGOF BT/A LN Sunil P. Pate’ DNA Oyj XDNAF DNA FH Sunil P. Pate lliad ILIAF ILD FP Frederic Boulan, CFA Inwit XISWF INW IM Parin Shah, C...
Lessons from 2016 The old joke is that Year Aheads are frequently out of date by the end of year they are written in. There is a real danger of that this year given the speed which things have moved since Brexit and more recently the US election. The two charts below show that F...
Volatility in Europe Buy EU banks dispersion: (+) basket call, (-) worst-of calls Trade: Long Dec17 105% call on an equally weighted basket of SAN, BNP, ING, ISP & DBK*, short Dec17 ATM worst-of call on the same basket for 1.8% indic. (correl bid: 81%). * We pick the top 5 stoc...
Eye on the Market | October 22, 2012 J.P Morgan The most important energy developments of 2012: how countries are planning for Independence Day First, a few updates: e It looks like sub-2.5% global GDP growth is showing up in the weak outlook provided by some bell-weather cycl...
eC“ eC “(SC CUO Volatility in Numbers (05-Aug-16) Table 9: Statistics on implied, realised, skew and term structure for 3-month and 12-month vols (developed markets) 3-month {2-month $&P500 ESTX50 FTSE DAX NKY HSI KOSPI S&P500 ESTX50 FTSE DAX NKY HSI KOSPI Implied 11.9% 19.2%...