… DBK average 6M ATMf implied vol is Chart 17: Despite the recent drop in realized correlation, implied trading historically low (13" percentile since 2008) correlation is priced near the high end of the reaiised range for the basket of EU banks Basket of SAN, BNP, ING, ISP & D...
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Key charts Chart 1: Synchronised rise in leading indicators globally augurs well for earnings recovery — especially if PMIs kick on to or above mid-50s 65 60 60 40 55 20 50 0 45 40 20 35 ; 40 —— (SM / Euro PMI manuf alg (advanced 9m) 30 =———=|\iSCI Europe EPS € (trailing yo...
Research Analysts Benjamin Bowler Equity-Linked Analyst MLPF&S +1 415 676 3595 [email protected] Abhinandan Deb >> Equity-Linked Analyst MLI (UK) +44 20 7995 7148 [email protected] Anshul Gupta >> Equity-Linked Analyst MLI (UK) +44 20 7996 7062 aguptal 13@baml...
organic and M&A driven growth opportunities during the next downturn. That said, management noted that it was very likely that potential pro-growth measures taken by the incoming Trump administration could push out any downturn, as in the short run the economy would witness stron...
from large domestic pension funds and the recovery in the price of copper explain the relative resilience of the currency (Chart 70}. Given the low carry, CLP offers an attractive alternative as a funding currency as the portfolio rebalancing of pension funds is expected to slow...
Morgan Stanley | RESEARCH On average the group currently trades at 10.8x on 2018e EPS with an average effective tax rate for economic net income (the metric NORTH AMERICA INSIGHT ~~ Exhibit 4: Breakeven P/E multiple expansion of 2.1x required to offset 16% lower earnings in a...
…US rates. The Brazilian real is still overvalued and the economy will be negatively affected since its strategy to gradually reduce budget deficits is based on low global rates, capital inflows and higher domestic growth. In the case of the Argentine peso, despite showing some de...
…rive growth as balances having increased to $660mn (1% of loans) from its 2014 inception. Of note, management expects challenged growth in auto, though its exclusive lending to the prime space limits the credit downside. Chart 38: How do you view the impact of new online lending...
…ny violation of federal law. Consequently, financial insti- tutions willing to serve the cannabis industry tend to be smaller institutions, such as credit unions and state-chartered banks. “Big” banks generally do not serve, or are not willing to state publicly that they serve, t...
…ationship with ARCC, the publicly traded business development company. Earnings from per- formance fees at ARES are a smaller portion of overall profitability, which is furthered by relatively higher compensation payout on per- formance fee revenues, which in turn approach 80% in...
…. Pate Tele2 AB TLTZF TEL2B SS Sunil P. Pate Telefonica Deutschland TELDF 02D GR Frederic Boulan, CFA RSTR Altice NV -A ALLVF ATC NA Frederic Boulan, CFA Altice NV -B ALVVF ATCBNA Frederic Boulan, CFA Drillisch AG DRHKF DRI GY Frederic Boulan, CFA RVW United Internet AG UDIRF UTD...
…e those alternatives to the actions we observe. To some extent, this process might also involve the motor system by mentally simulating actions and anticipated responses. By imagining how we might act in some situation to achieve a goal or the alternative ways we may act given so...
…ed Trades (19-Jun-17) Table 10: Summary of closed trades as of 19-Jun-17 Trade Description Buy NKY Aug-16 105%-110% call spreads & sell 90% puts Replace FB long positions via Oct-16 ATM calls Replace AMZN long positions via Oct-16 ATM calls Buy AAPL Oct-16 ATM protective put...
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Volatility in Europe Buy EU banks dispersion: (+) basket call, (-) worst-of calls Trade: Long Dec17 105% call on an equally weighted basket of SAN, BNP, ING, ISP & DBK*, short Dec17 ATM worst-of call on the same basket for 1.8% indic. (correl bid: 81%). * We pick the top 5 stoc...