… -1.18% -0.85% = -0.49% -0.35% -1.55% -0,84% 1Mth Change 1.35% -2.69% -0.78% — -0.40% 0.12% 1.15% 2.38% Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Table 12: Statistics on implied, realised, skew and term structure for 3-month and 12-month vols (emerging markets) 3-month {2-m...
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…5-Feb-99 4-Oct-95 8-Dec-80 14-Apr-87 3-Mar-80 14-Mar-00 22-Jul-99 21-Sep-78 19-Apr-99 28-Jan-00 15-Oct-99 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data from 1-Feb-71 to 16-Jun-17. Drawdowns measured from prior peaks and using close-to-close data. Chart 14: On 16-Jun, the SPX...
…w, USDbn 650 2835 2885 2.935 700 85-2835 2.885 750 2. 835 800 2.68 785 850 | 2685 2,735 900 2 2635 2,685 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg. 2016 rate is annualized from the first 3 quarters of data. Table 5, above, shows a scenario analysis of China’s FX re...
…Stoxx 600 EPS revisions ratio (4 wk avg) ====13-week average 113 0384 O74 1144 03/15 O75 11/15 03/16 07/16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Markit, Bloomberg Return to positive EPS growth feasible with globa...
…5% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Very overweight Slightly overweight Neutral Slightly Very underweight underweight Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research New this year, we hosted expert panels on the evolution of clearing, fixed income market structure, equity market structure, and...
…excess therefore better loan capital —_ is returned demand back to shareholders or reinvested for growth Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research An area that has attracted particular attention among bank investors is around the current landscape of multifamily lending. We p...
…over the past 5 years, the average number of XLF calls that could be purchased was only 0.80. == Average Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data from 9-Jun-12 to 16-Jun-17. Table 2: Current S&P500 volatility and correlation measures relative to the prior two year of h...
regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico
…y = 1.4% vs. a typical realized Bf "election day" move of 1.5% (see 19 Chart 14) 46 “Sept6 Oct 16 Novi6 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 2-Jun-09 to 5-Aug-16. *Day count adjustment = we adjust the VIX futures curve to reflect the Trade-Day/252 day-co...
…% 1m 3m 6m ly 1.5y 2y RTY change (RHS) SPX change (RHS) SPX 17-May === SPX 1-Jun RTY 17-May =——_RTY 1-Jun Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Chart 20: 2017 is already the 5" calmest year for the VIX with 76 YTD closes below 12. Despite the short-lived vol spike on 17-M...
… vol NDX - SPX 3M ATM implied vol spread (right) Daily NDX return / trailing (EWMA) vol 1 ——— 17-May-17 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 4-Feb-85 through 2-Jun-17. Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 17-Jun-09 through 2-Jun-17...
…0.5% 14.0% 5.5% 0.1% 53.0% 0.6% TWSE 10.7% 0.3% 8.2% 1.2% 1.5% 14.1% 2.9% 0.4% 12.6% -1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Chart 41: Index correlation is generally further away from their 10-year Except for the ASX200, Asian stock and index vols are mo...
…13 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 mms Net Dollar position ———=MXN mmm spread —=—‘1y TIIE -—=—=ONR Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Notable Rates and FX Research * Global Rates & Currencies 2016 Y...
… -3.1% ~=— 6.0% ~=—-0.9% 8.9% -14% 29% 4.2% 3.0% 0.4% —-1.0% 3.3% -2.4% 3.6% Source: Smith Travel Research (STR), BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates; Note: **March data is month to date Estimates vs. Consensus: In-line 1Q revenue and EPS We expect 1Q revenue/EPS of $2....
…95 104 0.9 102 0.85 100 0.8 98 0.75 96 0.7 94 0.65 10/1/2015 1/1/2016 4/1/2016 7/1/2016 10/1/2016 1/1/2010 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch Global Rates, FX & EM 2017 Year Ahead | 16 November 20...