…03 02 0 01 -0.2 SS SEARS SOZESE SEAR AG OSE OH STE SHEE SLES SSSee2 aS Sd 2h SESS FAS GSE OR PaaS AES STSS Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Bankof America 2 Global Rates, FX & EM 2017 Year Ahead| 16 Novemb...
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…ed as a research analyst under the FINRA rules. Refer to "Other Important Disclosures" for information on certain BofA Merrill Lynch entities that take responsibility for this report in particular jurisdictions. BofA Merrill Lynch does and seeks to do business with issuers cove...
… -1.18% -0.85% = -0.49% -0.35% -1.55% -0,84% 1Mth Change 1.35% -2.69% -0.78% — -0.40% 0.12% 1.15% 2.38% Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Table 12: Statistics on implied, realised, skew and term structure for 3-month and 12-month vols (emerging markets) 3-month {2-m...
…5-Feb-99 4-Oct-95 8-Dec-80 14-Apr-87 3-Mar-80 14-Mar-00 22-Jul-99 21-Sep-78 19-Apr-99 28-Jan-00 15-Oct-99 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data from 1-Feb-71 to 16-Jun-17. Drawdowns measured from prior peaks and using close-to-close data. Chart 14: On 16-Jun, the SPX...
…w, USDbn 650 2835 2885 2.935 700 85-2835 2.885 750 2. 835 800 2.68 785 850 | 2685 2,735 900 2 2635 2,685 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg. 2016 rate is annualized from the first 3 quarters of data. Table 5, above, shows a scenario analysis of China’s FX re...
…Stoxx 600 EPS revisions ratio (4 wk avg) ====13-week average 113 0384 O74 1144 03/15 O75 11/15 03/16 07/16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Markit, Bloomberg Return to positive EPS growth feasible with globa...
…excess therefore better loan capital —_ is returned demand back to shareholders or reinvested for growth Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research An area that has attracted particular attention among bank investors is around the current landscape of multifamily lending. We p...
…over the past 5 years, the average number of XLF calls that could be purchased was only 0.80. == Average Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data from 9-Jun-12 to 16-Jun-17. Table 2: Current S&P500 volatility and correlation measures relative to the prior two year of h...
regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada; Merrill Lynch (Mexico): Merrill Lynch Mexico
…y = 1.4% vs. a typical realized Bf "election day" move of 1.5% (see 19 Chart 14) 46 “Sept6 Oct 16 Novi6 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 2-Jun-09 to 5-Aug-16. *Day count adjustment = we adjust the VIX futures curve to reflect the Trade-Day/252 day-co...
…% 1m 3m 6m ly 1.5y 2y RTY change (RHS) SPX change (RHS) SPX 17-May === SPX 1-Jun RTY 17-May =——_RTY 1-Jun Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Chart 20: 2017 is already the 5" calmest year for the VIX with 76 YTD closes below 12. Despite the short-lived vol spike on 17-M...
… vol NDX - SPX 3M ATM implied vol spread (right) Daily NDX return / trailing (EWMA) vol 1 ——— 17-May-17 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 4-Feb-85 through 2-Jun-17. Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 17-Jun-09 through 2-Jun-17...
…0.5% 14.0% 5.5% 0.1% 53.0% 0.6% TWSE 10.7% 0.3% 8.2% 1.2% 1.5% 14.1% 2.9% 0.4% 12.6% -1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Chart 41: Index correlation is generally further away from their 10-year Except for the ASX200, Asian stock and index vols are mo...
…13 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 mms Net Dollar position ———=MXN mmm spread —=—‘1y TIIE -—=—=ONR Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Notable Rates and FX Research * Global Rates & Currencies 2016 Y...
… -3.1% ~=— 6.0% ~=—-0.9% 8.9% -14% 29% 4.2% 3.0% 0.4% —-1.0% 3.3% -2.4% 3.6% Source: Smith Travel Research (STR), BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates; Note: **March data is month to date Estimates vs. Consensus: In-line 1Q revenue and EPS We expect 1Q revenue/EPS of $2....