Eye on the Market July 25, 2011 J.P Morgan Topics: US debt ceiling negotiations, a more ambitious European bailout plan (finally), and how large cap growth stocks and rising corporate profits are patiently waiting for both of them to end What the EU gave: an easing of lending...
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along with EURUSD vol (Chart 60). While the cheapness of 3m10y vol in EUR
but the increase in vol lagged EUR/USD post-elections
as our analysis suggests a short EUR/JPY
we recommend buying a 6M EUR/JPY 122/130 call
especially for USD- and EUR-denominated bonds.
we are left with 3 other concerns. The current EU-IMF lending facility capacity is Eur 255 bn
with the exception of the level reached when the SNB removed the EUR/CHF
Summary of Open Trades (5-Jun-17) Price data for open level reflects the price on open date and does not necessarily reflect the price at which the trade could be executed at the date of this report. Our trades are structured to be executed on the open date and are not necessari...
with the latest flows pointing to more EUR downside and GBP
we prefer to use the EUR as a funding currency
but the upside remains limited by expansive fed policy e Short EUR
and should recover on the back of better risk sentiment. We large USD and EUR exposures into minor
outs is politically untenable. This removes the implicit ‘cover’ that senior bonds holders have enjoyed and has increased speculation that implementation of the bail-in proposals under the EU’s Resolution & Recovery Directive (RRD) will be brought forward to 2015 from the current...
Jan Loeys Global Asset Allocation (1-212) 834-5874 The J.P. Morgan View JP Morgan [email protected] 28 March 2013 Interest rates Current Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 YTD Return* United States Fed funds rate 0.125 0.125 0.125 0.125 0.125 0-year yields 1.85 2.00 2.10 2.25 2...