From: jeffrey E. [[email protected]] Sent: 5/19/2014 10:37:05 AM To: Peter Thiel Subject: That was fun , see you in 3 weeks FP Briefing non- classified 19 May, 2014 Article 1. The National Interest Which Road Will Egypt Take? Kathryn Alexeeff Article 2. Now Lebanon What S...
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Exhibit 34: US GDP per Hour Worked We expect a rebound in productivity growth from generational lows. % YoY 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 Data through 2015. Source: Investment Strategy Group, OECD. Exhibit 35: Goldman Sachs US Current Activity In...
At this juncture, the Indian rupee seems to be the only one in the region that is expected to display a much lower sensitivity to US rates, outperforming others within Asia. We expect the Monetary Authority of Singapore to keep the SGD NEER in the weaker side of the band for the...
Economic Research: How Increasing Income Inequality Is Dampening U.S. Economic Growth, And Possible Ways To Change The Tide When Ends Don't Meet A few factors help explain the concentration within so-called "market income," which consists of labor income (wages and salaries, pl...
Recent bank stress tests conducted by the EU concluded that only Eur 2.5 billion of capital needs to be raised (70 to 80 billion sounds more reasonable to us). And in the package announced last week, the following Orwellian clause indicates how European policymakers feel about ra...
Economic Research: How Increasing Income Inequality Is Dampening U.S. Economic Growth, And Possible Ways To Change The Tide help offset the growing divide in educational opportunities and outcomes, broadening the pathways for our future leaders, to the benefit of all. That sai...
Global Utility White Paper CONFIDENTIAL US Utilities PE/SPX PE Close to record relative PE ot Fs) a JUTY tne (Ptladeighia Sock Euchre Uttity Ince) utes wn tread mare Source: Bloomberg While we will continue to see solid growth from the regulated names, and a total return arg...
J.P Morgan The J.P. Morgan View Local forces are dominating e Asset allocation — Local risks and opportunities trump global forces in driving investment opportunities. Cross-market correlations to remain much lower than in recent years. e Economics — US activity data are comi...
growth rate = capital productivity + thrift rate. (4.4b) Notice that we must change the sign before “consumption rate” to find thrift. Change downward in consumption rate is change upward in thrift rate, and conversely. Further change in growth rate = change in capital product...
Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] European Equity Strategy 2017 year ahead - Refining the reflation rotation Key takeaways ¢ 2017 - Reflation, Reversal, Rotation, Relief or Revolt. EPS to turn +ve but pol...
Consequences of Inaction — Investor Perspective e Short Term, No Problem Yet Global bond investors, in part, have looked past USA Inc.’s deteriorating financials because growth, inflation, and Fed purchases matter more, and because income statements and balance sheets of many o...
Bottom Line, as Data in This Presentation Indicate... USA Inc.’s expenses far exceed revenue — and government projections imply this trend will get worse, not better. In addition - while not addressed in depth in this presentation - USA Inc. (while still a global powerhouse), a...
hasn’t resulted in an inflationary surge (core inflation measured over 3 months just came in below 2%), so why not keep doing it? Aren’t these charts amazing? Rising Federal debt? No problem for Treasury markets Rising Fed balance sheet? No problem forinflation Percentof GDP ‘Yi...
US auto sales in the wake of Fukushima Itlooks like pent-up demand for Japanese cars has MoM change in SAAR auto sales, millions of units caught up, SAAR million units 1.0 id 0.5 0.0 nn oS Ss oo BJapan -1.0 BUS+Other 4 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 4 2009 2010 2011 2012...
assume $4.7/share in value for the core business based Verizon's pending acquisition value of $4.83bn less $300mn for potential revisions. Downside risks to our PO are: 1} Alibaba stock valuation declines, 2) Alibaba valuation discount is higher than expected, 3) Verizon's pendi...