Recent bank stress tests conducted by the EU concluded that only Eur 2.5 billion of capital needs to be raised (70 to 80 billion sounds more reasonable to us). And in the package announced last week, the following Orwellian clause indicates how European policymakers feel about ra...
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Exhibit 48: S&P 500 Price-to-Trend Earnings vs. Subsequent Calendar-Year Price Return Starting valuation multiples tell us little about equity returns over the following year. S&P 500 Returns 1 Year Forward (%) 50 - R?=5.2% 40 « ° oe 30 - ° ° % ¢ + 20 ¢ @,¢ o . * ° 10 wep see...
Table 10: Tax impact from taxation of accumulated overseas profits at 10%/8.75% rates (assuming mandatory tax i.e. all overseas profits are taxed) Cash taximpact ($bn) | One-time tax hit to GAAP earnings Sector Trump (10%) Blueprint (8.75%) = Trump (10%) Blueprint (8.75%) Consum...
Overweight US Energy Infrastructure Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs): We initiated a direct allocation to energy MLPs in late January 2016 and have maintained that tilt. Given our assumptions about oil prices, we believe that the cash distributions from MLPs are generally secur...
Preferred themes e High quality dividend yields (sourced from existing European ® and UK equities) High quality companies with geographically diversified business models that pay sustainable dividends offer an attractive income stream in a low yield world. Historically, dividend...
November 21, 2011 Topic: The quixotic search for energy solutions Another Don Quixote Thanksgiving. Every year at Thanksgiving 1 , we look in-depth at an issue that affects markets and portfolios. Last year, we examined the unraveling situation in Europe. Unfortunately, most con...
Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontloaded. We now see USD & rates only modestly higher next year. Jam...
From: US GIO [[email protected]] Sent: 8/4/2011 11:41:48 PM To: Undisclosed recipients: Subject: On today's financial market developments Attachments: 08-04-11 - EOTM - Market update.pdf This is a little unorthodox, but here is the text of an internal note that I just sent t...
Thank you for reviewing this publication which is intended to discuss general market activity, industry or sector trends, or other broad-based economic, market or political conditions. It should not be construed as research. Any reference to a specific company or security is for...
From: US GIO [[email protected]] Sent: 8/4/2011 11:41:48 PM To: Undisclosed recipients:; Subject: On today's financial market developments Attachments: 08-04-11 - EOTM - Market update.pdf This is a little unorthodox, but here is the text of an internal note that I just sent...
Alphabet (Buy, $1,025 PO) Stock view: Expect solid 1Q revs., but loss of non-GAAP reconciliation a concern New concerns have been raised on the YouTube advertiser pullback, but with the cuts in spending surfacing primarily in the back half of March, we anticipate only modest imp...
From: Sent: To: Subject: Attachments: Ens, Amanda 11/17/2016 6:05:47 PM jeffrey E. [[email protected]]; Richard Kahn Financials: buy XLF Mar17 $22 call with $26 KO for $0.87 with full premium rebate on KO image001.png; Future of Financials Conference Takeaways.pdf Importance:...
implying output productivity rate = “os = constant, (4.7a) capital assuming again that acceleration is nonzero. This shows how to find the position of capital in the sequence led by output, and how to test between free growth and thrift theories. The market-valued capital deno...
Norfolk Southern (NSC) Our $122 price objective is based on a 19.5x multiple on our 2017 EPS estimate of $6.25. We move above the top of its one-standard deviation historical trading range of 12x-16x given the new management team's move to improve margins, cut costs, and raise i...
Global Asset Allocation The J.P. Morgan View 09 November 2012 Jan Loeys (1-212) 834-5874 [email protected] that outcome. But avoiding the worst case requires a short-term bargain plus a long-term compromise on a scale not seen in Washington since the Clinton- Congressional...