be equivalent to a SAR100bn cumulative spending cut, which we believe can be accommodated from capex retrenchment. On the basis of the above, fiscal consolidation would likely drive real GDP growth lower to an average of just around 1% of GDP. This estimate is based on a ST GCC f...
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Chart 79: How significant do you think robo advisor platforms will become over the next 3-5 years? 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Assets will surpass $1T Assets will hit $500B then level Assets will hit $500B then out decline Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research ¢ Bas...
reverse. Fading high 106’s could be a short-term profit-taking view, or area to enter countertrend short. A final thrust toward July highs of 107.49 is possible and an alternative profit-taking level. A pullback to 105.50 or 104.30 could certainly be bought for the broader uptren...
Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontloaded. We now see USD & rates only modestly higher next year. Jam...
Higher yields leading to bank, insurance outperformance over REITs The Japanese equity market correction managed to last just for one day after the US election. The insurance sector has been the best performer since the US election on the back of a steeper US Treasury curve and...
Chart 39: How do you view fundamentals for multifamily lending in 2017? 30% 27% 27% 27% 29% 20% 15% 10% 7% 5% 0% 13% Softening Softening Softening | Someconcern, but No concern fundamentals fundamentals fundamentals only in certain should leadto shouldleadto = shouldleadto _—...
Chart 23: Illustrative paths of Saudi fiscal balance Chart 24: Illustrative paths of Saudi government debt % of GDP % of GDP 30 100 “0 75 10 50 0 10 25 -20 0 So N xt oO co S N + Oo foe) oOo N i Oo foe) Oo N > co co oS N t+ oO 2c oO N st i<o} foe) oS a> a fo?) fo?) fo?) =] So o o...
as indicated. The information does not constitute UBS financial research and therefore may not reflect or be fully aligned with the
Analyst Certification |, Ronan Carr, CFA, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities and issuers. | also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, re...
Chart 8: Google ex-FX Y/Y growth trends 30% 25% 24%p9y% 24% 22% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2Q17E 3Q17E 4Q17E @ Total Google Revenue Y/Y (ex-FX) m= Google Website Y/Y (ex-FX) Source: Company reports, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research For core margins, we assume y/y contraction thro...
How the Best Universities Inadvertently Ruin Our Schools 193 status. Teaching future professors in one’s own field helps maintain that status, so graduate students pursuing Ph.D.s are quite often taken very seriously. Teaching graduate seminars is intellectually stimulat- ing, m...
JAN 01.27.2017 ECONOMICS: US PERSPECTIVES NATIONAL DEFENSE: IS ANOTHER SPENDING BOOM ON THE HORIZON? + Joseph G. Carson, US Economist and Director—Global Economic Research, [email protected] President Trump has promised to increase defense spending—and there’s support from...
Calibrating the Al-Risk Message While uncannily prescient, the AI-risk message from the original dissidents has a giant flaw—as does the version dominating current public discourse: Both considerably understate the magnitude of the problem as well as AI’s potential upside. The m...
might alter its motion when carrying something heavy, to emphasize the difficulty it has in maneuvering heavy objects. The more that people know about the robot, the easier it is to coordinate with it. Achieving action compatibility will require robots to anticipate human action...
reasoning without having to hire a programmer for each problem. Wiener recognized the role of feedback in machine learning, but he missed the key role of representation. It’s not possible to store all possible images in a self-driving car, or all possible sounds in a conversation...