…ver ME oil will matter; 5. Oil and global GDP are connected. In some ways, our energy policy may become more difficult. One big question is whether China will continue their policy of non-intervention in internal affairs of other countries (e.g. KSA goes Islamic). KSA’s response...
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… liberated the survivors of the Nazi death camps in 1945. Counterterrorism is the predominant form of contemporary war. One might say that, after the attack on New York’s World Trade Center on 11 September 2001, Americans divided themselves into the September 10th people, the Sep...
Hamas needs genuine regime change in Egypt. The new regime it needs is not a liberal democracy but one in which Islamist forces supportive of Hamas
…ather included. All of them responded with a slightly different version of events. But I knew what I wasn’t hearing. No one of them told me it was a lie. When I asked Yigal, he averted my glance, and then changed the subject. I knew it was true, at least broadly. I realized that...
…ossar, a Shin Bet veteran who spoke fluent Arabic and, after working in the West Bank and Gaza in the late 1960s became one of the first Israelis to hold secret talks with Arafat, building up a personal relationship with him. Under both Rabin and Peres, he had been a valuable lia...
/ BARAK / 59 When Clinton phoned me at the beginning of July, however, he still hadn’t finally decided to hold the summit. I needed him to know that, on my side, he’d have a truly willing partner, aware of the political risk he’d be taking. Like Dennis, the President tried to pr...
significant credit issues for the banks as weaker firms (who are clients) will be better positioned to sell themselves to the tech behemoths looking for innovative ideas. Catalysts: 1) Improving expectations around rising rates (on back of better macro- economic data) will conti...
…der, denouncing not only Sadat but any Arab leader who’d shown willingness to engage or negotiate with Israel. Amos Oz, one of our finest writers and a cultural icon for Labor Zionists, probably put it best. He said the Syrians seemed to think that “we will give them the Golan, a...
…ting the Jews who had arrived from Yemen. In the Negev, I met members of the even larger post- war influx from Morocco. One image struck me above all. It was from the place Yigal and I ate dinner. Ofakim was a development town that had yet to develop. It had no visible means of s...
… few dozen outside the unit who did know about my role, however, were paratroopers who’d joined us on various missions. One of them now told the El Al people who I was. Not only was I given a seat on the first overnight plane back to Tel Aviv. I found myself helping the airline e...
… factors on how we perceive reality, and thus make decisions. Tversky’s work especially fascinated me, because it questioned a basic assumption in the kind of predictive formulas my own department was advancing: that we make choices rationally, calculating the outcomes of competi...
it was Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu who broke with the past — in one of a series of diversions and obstacles Netanyahu has come up with anytime he is pressed. He wins in the short run
if the body’s failure to stop suffering was not so serious and not so real. The UN could have intervened more quickly and vigorously and saved millions of lives in Cambodia
…age we had was that they would have no idea what had happened on Rue Verdun, who we were, or where we were going. No sooner had we joined the Corniche than I saw another police Land Rover about 200 yards ahead of us. This one had a spotlight on the roof, panning both sides of th...
…on of Canada; Lynch Argenti ): Merrill Lynch International Incorporated Futures Bureau; DSP Merrill Lynch (India): DS ndonesia, regulated by Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (O loscow, regula errill Lynch (Spain): Merrill Lynch Capital lo S.A, regulated by Comissdo de Valores Mobilidrios;...