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Meet with our Global Head of Commodities - Monday at 10:15am at One Bryant Park
email TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014695.txt Jan 27, 2017 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…yield curves have neutralized the strong dollar, pushing commodities higher. We believe the recent breakdown in USD/Oil correlation since OPEC/Fed can persist so long as inflation expectations remain supported. However, a toxic mix of much faster-than-anticipated US interest rate...

nearness and sequential order not absolute distances), symbolic dynamical
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013706.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…f one or another of these underlying assumptions (such as series and Fourier phase shuffling to destroy statistical autocorrelations and vectorial continuities but leaving the probability density distributions intact ) may at times help emphasize one or another of these orientati...

Underfunded entitlements are among the most severe financial burdens USA Inc. faces
document IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020832.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…of the US population receives entitlement dollars or is on the government payroll, up from ~20% in 1966. Given the high correlation of rising entitlement income with declining savings, do Americans feel less compelled to save if they depend on the government for their future savi...

Accounting, Government, 31
document IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021084.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…nces of Inaction, 413-434 Austerity Measures, 426 Credit Rating, 419 Credit / Debt Crisis, 422-430 Deficits / Swap Rate Correlation, 430 Public Debt, Net Worth vs. Peers, 416-417 Short Term / Long Term, 415 Social Unrest, CDS, 429 Costs & Headcount, 345-348 Debt Composition, 168...

effects, which seem to impact other multi-manager funds in a greater way?
document IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026669.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…othbay, we generally run with limited net equity market exposure (on average 6-8% historically) and have maintained low correlation to market indices. While the sources of our returns will generally be idiosyncratic, there is no question that the tremendous amount of capital that...

Top 10 US Ideas Quarterly
document TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014622.txt Jan 3, 2017 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…t thesis We think the Street is underestimating ’17 EPS upside potential from Energy recovery given the segment’s close correlation to N.A. rig count and short-cycle nature of the business, as well as incremental accretion from Wayne acquisition. DOV is expected to host an analys...

this is a call to greater international policy activism, rather than retrenchment in response to
document IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026862.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…e rise of Trump. In other words, the conclusion is that the great trends of history, or to use an old Soviet term, the ‘correlation of forces’, are moving China’s way. TOWARDS A SHARPER CHINESE DIPLOMACY A third element of the 2018 Work Conference is its injunction to the count...

downturn in the local real estate markets affecting Franklin's construction loans and
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014383.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…he brokers based on the relationship between ROE (return on equity} and PB (price to book), which has a high historical correlation. Our $230 PO is based on a target PB multiple of 1.2x our forward book value estimate, which is above our 2017E ROE of roughly 10% as we add in high...

nothing would prevent a sophisticated investor in the omnibus fund from
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011095.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

nothing would prevent a sophisticated investor in the omnibus fund from manipulating correlation further down with derivatives as hedge funds do. Liquidity, Risk and Return Demand deposits in banks today can be withdrawn at any time. Time deposits cannot be attracted without e...

Dayhoff, J.E., Gerstein, G.L. (1983b) Favored patterns in spike trains. II
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013758.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…ic attractors. Phys. Lett. A137:167- 172 Ding, M., Grebogi, C., Ott, E., Sauer, T., Yorke, J. (1993) Plateau onset for correlation dimension: When does it occur. Phys. Rev. Lett. 70:3872-3875. Duke, D.W. and Pritchard, W.S. (eds) (1991)Measuring Chaos in the Human Brain. World...

Hagerman, |.,Berglund, M., Lorin, M., Nowak, J., Sylven, C.(1996) Chaos-related
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013764.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…rff, J.M., Peng, C.-K., Ladin, Z., Wei, J.Y., Goldberger, A.L. (1995) Is walking a random walk? Evidence for long range correlations in the stride interval of human gait. J. Appl. Physiol. 78:349-358 Hausdorff. J.M., Purdon, P.L., Peng, C.-K., Ladin, Z., Wei, J.Y., Goldberger, A...

Meet with our Global Head of Commodities - Monday at 10:15am at One Bryant Park
email IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014695.txt Jan 27, 2017 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…yield curves have neutralized the strong dollar, pushing commodities higher. We believe the recent breakdown in USD/Oil correlation since OPEC/Fed can persist so long as inflation expectations remain supported. However, a toxic mix of much faster-than-anticipated US interest rate...

Entitlement Spending per Beneficiary: Inflation-Adjusted Average Pre-Tax
document IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020886.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… Disposable Income 20% ~- ——Entitlement/ Welfare Income as % of Average Disposable Income ----------— ssf 1970 - 2010 Correlation: -82% Entitlement Income / Personal Savings as % of Disposable Income N = Qt tt 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Note: 1) Entitlemen...

February 16, 2017
document TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026668.txt Feb 16, 2017 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…othbay, we generally run with limited net equity market exposure (on average 6-8% historically) and have maintained low correlation to market indices. While the sources of our returns will generally be idiosyncratic, there is no question that the tremendous amount of capital that...

[DECEMBER DRAFT--- 287 pages]
document TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020153.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…e successes were made easier by those documents compromised by Snowden, he replied, “Even though I cannot make a direct correlation here, unarguably our adversaries know far more about how we collect signals intelligence than they ever did before [Snowden].” If Snowden could cau...