…ile) over the past 5 years, the average number of XLF calls that could be purchased was only 0.80. == Average Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Data from 9-Jun-12 to 16-Jun-17. Table 2: Current S&P500 volatility and correlation measures relative to the prior two year...
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…on day = 1.4% vs. a typical realized Bf "election day" move of 1.5% (see 19 Chart 14) 46 “Sept6 Oct 16 Novi6 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 2-Jun-09 to 5-Aug-16. *Day count adjustment = we adjust the VIX futures curve to reflect the Trade-Day/252 d...
…-7 UNDERPERFORM 74.07 59.00 20,526.00 TripAdvisor TRIP — Schindler,Nat C-3-9 UNDERPERFORM 46.95 41.00 9,071.00 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research BofA Merrill Lynch does and seeks to do business with issuers covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should...
…4% -5% 1m 3m 6m ly 1.5y 2y RTY change (RHS) SPX change (RHS) SPX 17-May === SPX 1-Jun RTY 17-May =——_RTY 1-Jun Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Chart 20: 2017 is already the 5" calmest year for the VIX with 76 YTD closes below 12. Despite the short-lived vol spike on...
….8% -0.5% 14.0% 5.5% 0.1% 53.0% 0.6% TWSE 10.7% 0.3% 8.2% 1.2% 1.5% 14.1% 2.9% 0.4% 12.6% -1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Chart 41: Index correlation is generally further away from their 10-year Except for the ASX200, Asian stock and index vols a...
… 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 mms Net Dollar position ———=MXN mmm spread —=—‘1y TIIE -—=—=ONR Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Notable Rates and FX Research * Global Rates & Currencies 2...
….0% = -3.1% ~=— 6.0% ~=—-0.9% 8.9% -14% 29% 4.2% 3.0% 0.4% —-1.0% 3.3% -2.4% 3.6% Source: Smith Travel Research (STR), BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates; Note: **March data is month to date Estimates vs. Consensus: In-line 1Q revenue and EPS We expect 1Q revenue/EPS o...
…06 0.95 104 0.9 102 0.85 100 0.8 98 0.75 96 0.7 94 0.65 10/1/2015 1/1/2016 4/1/2016 7/1/2016 10/1/2016 1/1/2010 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Bankof America 2 Merrill Lynch Global Rates, FX & EM 2017 Year Ahead | 16 Novemb...
…SSSgsggggggssss SaSSsBSBSsS SBSSSSESESSSS N NNN NN NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN NOE Rr Or OS NNNN NNN NNN NN SN Source: , Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates 26 GEMs Paper #26 | 30 June 2016 OS merrill Lynch HOUS...
… 20% 10% 0% Assets will surpass $1T Assets will hit $500B then level Assets will hit $500B then out decline Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research ¢ Based on our polling questions, investors believe that the main beneficiaries of the robo advisor trend will be the passiv...
…35)| 7 USDIPY MIRSI 46.2577 0B 70.00 “0s 30.00 +100 ar 5 fi WV A fk rs mR +60 +40 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Long-term picture: 50m average crossing 200m average Chart 5: USD/JPY monthly chart with 50m average and 200m aver...
…4 1.44 -3.64 -0.47 Bull flat -4.49 1.26 -7.31 -5.05 8.91 -11.10 -9.94 8.23 -7.31 -9.61 -0.37 -1.50 -4.16 -1.59 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg Used Bloomberg Treasury yield index. Curve movements defined based on 2yr move (up or down) and 2510s move (up o...
… slower financing certain rental price activity next year metrics activing and points worsening credit metrics Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research = Confident past most of taxi medallion issues: Management expressed confidence that it has taken care of most of the issues...
…iscal adjustment US$25/bbI oil - ambitious fiscal adjustment US$25/bbI oil - ambitious fiscal adjustment Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates Source: Haver, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates Consumer to face mixed trends Labour policies are lik...
…0% 5% 0% 2Q17E 3Q17E 4Q17E @ Total Google Revenue Y/Y (ex-FX) m= Google Website Y/Y (ex-FX) Source: Company reports, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research For core margins, we assume y/y contraction through 3Q17, after which we model a slight uptick in 4Q17. For the year, we ass...