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Top 10 US Ideas Quarterly
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014623.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…Any security which is removed will not be replaced. If there are any changes to the list during the quarter we will promptly publish a note explaining the change. Securities are intended to stay on the list for one quarter, though some may be chosen again for the next quarter’s l...

Underweight Retail
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014490.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…nderperform on Retail. Structural margin pressures: Aside from Brexit, retailers face declining returns as online disruptors and discounters drive up competition. EBITDA margins have fallen from 8% in 2010 to close to 7% in 2016 and RoE has declined by nearly 3% since 2004. We t...

In other words, 2Q17 marks the low point in oil and gas production, with
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014876.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…DACF Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates Our assumptions include a likely project sanction of the first phase ‘early production system’ at the Liza discovery in 2Q17. However, based on discovered oil to date th...

Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432.txt Nov 30, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Global Cross Asset Strategy —- Year Ahead Bankof America The Trump inflection ape ce Investment Strategy 30 November 2016 Corrected Key takeaways ee « Market response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontloaded. We now see USD & rates only modestly higher next year. Jam...

Overall, we find it hard to argue that sectors haven’t moved a long way already from a
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014483.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Overall, we find it hard to argue that sectors haven’t moved a long way already from a valuation perspective, even against the context of potentially important inflection points in bond yields and earnings. From here we suspect investors may need to more selective in how they pla...

Concerns over stagflation return
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014722.txt Oct 1, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Concerns over stagflation return On the surface, this has been an uneventful year for the US rates market so far. At the start of January, the market was pricing two Fed hikes for the year. Six weeks later, the market is still pricing only two Fed hikes for the year. The yield o...

Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for amanda.ens@bam
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014424.txt Mar 2, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Unauthorized redistribution of this report is prohibited. This report is intended for [email protected] Japan Macro Watch USD/JPY: Buy-on-dip cycle to continue; 115- 120 by end-2017 Buy-on-dip cycle continues While we had acknowledged the risk of the “final JPY strength” th...

residual fuel oil burned. Saudi Arabia has the world’s 4" largest gas reserves, yet
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_016149.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… would likely be crude gas demand grow as well 1,200 >, td Saudi oil demand in power generation Saudi natural gas consumption, 2013 1,000 m crude burn = resid industry, 2.6 oil & gas befid 800 extraction, 0.3 beifd petchems, 0.5 600 befld 400 200 power 0 generation, 4.4 o ft...

trailing Instagram and Facebook. Interestingly, after Snapchat passed Instagram in early
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014921.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…m and Facebook. Interestingly, after Snapchat passed Instagram in early 2016 in average minutes per user, Instagram recaptured the lead mid-year and has extended it since. While the cause for the shift is not certain, the trends align with the launch of Instagram Stories (August...

Chart 86: Following last week’s GOP sweep, do you think regulatory relief is in the cards for
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014373.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Chart 86: Following last week’s GOP sweep, do you think regulatory relief is in the cards for the financial services industry? 70% 62% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Yes, and this should havea Yes, but change in regulatory No, | think there will be little meaningful impact to retu...

Chart 76: Biggest risks to investing in a tech-based lending companies
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014366.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Chart 76: Biggest risks to investing in a tech-based lending companies 40% 32% 32% 29% 30% 20% 10% 0% No sustainable Untested credit Fragile funding model Uncertain regulatory competitive advantage model/risk backdrop management Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research = P...