Eye on the Market | July 25, 2011 J.P Morgan Topics: US debt ceiling negotiations, a more ambitious European bailout plan (finally), and how large cap growth stocks and rising corporate profits are patiently waiting for both of them to end While we’re waiting: large cap growth...
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downturn in the local real estate markets affecting Franklin's construction loans and increasing credit costs via higher charge-offs and provisions, and 3) inability to effectively fund asset growth driving greater than expected compression in the net interest margin. Goldman Sa...
US equities S&P 500 (24 Oct): 1,409 (last publication: 1,433) UBS View S&P 500 (6-month target): 1,460 ¢ We keep our preference for US equities relative to other developed equity markets. Earnings continued to hold up better than in other regions during the recent economic slow...
strong control of the government and its high approval rating are steadily raising the chance of success. We stay overweight Japanese equities and grow wary of the short yen trade, as capital inflows and rising growth expectations (chart of right) are ultimately bullish for the c...
No alpha from repatriation and multiples actually compressed Our analysis of the top 15 repatriating companies (from Table 7) suggests that while these companies initially outperformed both the S&P 500 and equal-weighted S&P 500 from November 2004-April 2005 (by 6ppt and 5ppt, r...
strong control of the government and its high approval rating are steadily raising the chance of success. We stay overweight Japanese equities and grow wary of the short yen trade, as capital inflows and rising growth expectations (chart of right) are ultimately bullish for the c...
Marine Le Pen victory could bring into question both the future of the EU and also the euro, should the polls be close it could make the uncertainty and market moves around Brexit look like a walk in the park. 2017 —- Reflation, Reversal, Rotation, Relief or Revolt? 2017 is lik...
Exhibit 19: US Equity Volatility Spikes in equity volatility have corresponded with major global shocks. VIX Level 30 () Global Financial Crisis 80.9 ® First Greek Bailout (11/20/08) @) Debt Ceiling, S&P Downgrade, 70 -| Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis G) Greek Default 60 + @...
Research Analysts James Barty >> Ajay Singh Kapur, CFA >> Investment Strategist Equity Strategist MLI (UK) Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong) +44 20 7996 3291 +852 3508 7753 [email protected] [email protected] Ronan Carr, CFA >> Shusuke Yamada, CFA >> European Equity Strateg...
Edited by Yelena Maltser • [email protected] MARCH 2017 SUPREME COURT REJECTS NEWMAN REQUIREMENT OF “PECUNIARY OR SIMILARLY VALUABLE” PERSONAL BENEFIT FOR INSIDER TRADING LIABILITY FOR TIPPING FAMILY AND FRIENDS BY SAMUEL J. LIEBERMAN The U.S. Supreme Court gave the governm...
{mobile apps, premium nanny, date night payment services etc.) may not see much traction, 4) lower conversion rates on mobile, 5) mobile conversions with 30% fee to Apple and Google Play marketplaces could negatively impact margins, and 6) international expansion may not be succe...
It would be nice to test from such a dataset, again starting from (4.6), to see if free growth theory holds again. Who knows? Meanwhile, | think, the case is closed. All growth at very large scales is free until proved otherwise. Where Does Opinion Stand Now? What should we ma...
First Bancorp Puerto Rico (FBP) We use a three-factor valuation framework (P/TBV, P/E, DCF) to arrive at our $6.50 price objective. We assign a 1.0x multiple to our 2Q17E TBV, below the 1.6X for peers, due to the overhang of PR fiscal issues that may reduce TBV. Our revised impl...
Price objective basis & risk Alphabet (GOOGL / GOOG) Our price objective is $1025/$1025, representing 17x our core 2018 Google non-GAAP EPS estimate (excluding non-Google losses), plus $118/share in cash, or 21x core Google GAAP EPS plus cash. Alphabet has traded at 12-24x forw...
Equities overview Global equity markets - Key points e We keep an overall neutral allocation to equities (see summary on slide 3). ° We keep our preference for US equities. Resilient company earnings still soeak for an overweight stance. Continued economic growth should underp...