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Re: World economy growth interesting reading
email TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021231.txt Jul 11, 2009 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…ts hedging less, be happy. That will signal better days. Finally. The IMF does offer a bit of more heartening news: The global wipe out finally seems to be receding. "The world economy is stabilizing," the IMF reports. Its global economic growth projection of 2.5 percent in 2010...

Volatility in Numbers (02-Jun-17)
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023602.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…96% 0.36% 0.00% 1.75% 2.49% 1.11% 0.28% 1Mth Change 2.00% 0.38% 4.10% 2.52% 3.76% 497% 6.28% Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Table 9: Statistics on implied, realised, skew and term structure for 3-month and 12-month vols (emerging markets) 3-month {2-month EEM US IBOV...

(2006). Host-handling behavior: an innate component of foraging behavior in the parastaoid wasp
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012799.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…verview. Aggression and Violent Behavior, 16(5), 361- 370. Elsevier Ltd.; Ferguson, R. B. (2006). Tribal, “Ethnic,” and Global. Jn: The Psychology of Resolving Global Conflict: From war to peace, volume I, Nature vs Nurture (Ed. M. Fitzduff, C.E. Stout; Lawrence Erlbaum Ass), 1-1...

It follows that if real GDP is understated, then
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014548.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…dices.°° We point to three examples to illustrate the mismeasurement argument. First, our colleagues in Goldman Sachs’ Global Investment Research (GIR) have pointed out that the official price indices for information and communication technology show an implausible gap between t...

Chart 13: The 2016 election move implied by the VIX term structure is
document IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025985.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… typical realized Bf "election day" move of 1.5% (see 19 Chart 14) 46 “Sept6 Oct 16 Novi6 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 2-Jun-09 to 5-Aug-16. *Day count adjustment = we adjust the VIX futures curve to reflect the Trade-Day/252 day-count convention...

Banks and insurance companies
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012076.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…ts should be motivated to pursue best practic- es, having experienced the con- sequences of bad behavior long after the Global Financial Crisis. Tighter regulations, enacted in the aftermath of the Global Fi- nancial Crisis, including Basel III and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Refo...

Notable trends and dislocations (US)
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023583.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… 1.5y 2y RTY change (RHS) SPX change (RHS) SPX 17-May === SPX 1-Jun RTY 17-May =——_RTY 1-Jun Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Chart 20: 2017 is already the 5" calmest year for the VIX with 76 YTD closes below 12. Despite the short-lived vol spike on 17-May, the VIX ha...

Exhibit 98: Full-Year Average Global Crude Oil
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014609.txt Dec 31, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Exhibit 98: Full-Year Average Global Crude Oil Supply and Demand Oil consumption in 2017 could exceed supply for the first time since 2013. Million Barrels/Day 100 Average Forecast World Production oS + World Consumption 98 Production Exceeded Consumption wa Between 2014 a...

Chart 40: Volatility measures of major Asian indices (data as of 02-Jun-17)
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023594.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…% 0.1% 53.0% 0.6% TWSE 10.7% 0.3% 8.2% 1.2% 1.5% 14.1% 2.9% 0.4% 12.6% -1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Chart 41: Index correlation is generally further away from their 10-year Except for the ASX200, Asian stock and index vols are more lows while...

Exhibit 96: OPEC 2016 Production Cut Agreement
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014608.txt Nov 30, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… precipitated notable declines in US shale output (see Exhibit 94). Lower oil prices have also supported above- average global demand growth, helping to absorb excess inventories. Lastly, OPEC agreed to lower production in November 2016, while also securing a promise from its si...

Of course, the liaison between the NSA and its allies was a two way street. In 2013, none of
document IMAGES-005-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_020309.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…f course, the liaison between the NSA and its allies was a two way street. In 2013, none of these other countries had a global network of geosynchronous sensors in outer space and under the ocean that could monitor signals from missile launching, submarine, military deployments,...

Bannon: It’s a great question. I certainly think secularism has sapped the strength of the
document IMAGES-010-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029037.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…ave to face a very unpleasant fact: And that unpleasant fact is that there is a major war brewing, a war that’s already global. It’s going global in scale, and today’s technology, today’s media, today’s access to weapons of mass destruction, it’s going to lead to a global conflic...

Underweight Retail
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014490.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…at Asda’s expense 8.3% 7.8% 7.3% ——Retail EBITDA margin 6.8% PP FF FF gh gh gh gh gr gh gh Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Datastream, IBES Chart 68: Retail is expensive on a range of metrics Tesco Aldi Lidl Waitrose Morrisons Sainsbury's Asda -100 -...

In other words, 2Q17 marks the low point in oil and gas production, with
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014876.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… 3Q22E m Guyana m Utica m NMB Valhall m Stampede gJDA mEG m Other GoM mOther/base mBakken Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research estimates Critically, Hess has multiple levers to pull that reverse production declines as cash becomes available from completion of NMB and St...