be equivalent to a SAR100bn cumulative spending cut, which we believe can be accommodated from capex retrenchment. On the basis of the above, fiscal consolidation would likely drive real GDP growth lower to an average of just around 1% of GDP. This estimate is based on a ST GCC f...
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Chart 79: How significant do you think robo advisor platforms will become over the next 3-5 years? 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Assets will surpass $1T Assets will hit $500B then level Assets will hit $500B then out decline Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research ¢ Bas...
reverse. Fading high 106’s could be a short-term profit-taking view, or area to enter countertrend short. A final thrust toward July highs of 107.49 is possible and an alternative profit-taking level. A pullback to 105.50 or 104.30 could certainly be bought for the broader uptren...
…t response to Trump is logical but moves have been frontloaded. We now see USD & rates only modestly higher next year. James Barty >> « We see higher growth and inflation, notably in Japan. We go long NKY, stay long EM sail — AX) & selective yield in equity/ credit. Te alboncOee...
Higher yields leading to bank, insurance outperformance over REITs The Japanese equity market correction managed to last just for one day after the US election. The insurance sector has been the best performer since the US election on the back of a steeper US Treasury curve and...
Chart 39: How do you view fundamentals for multifamily lending in 2017? 30% 27% 27% 27% 29% 20% 15% 10% 7% 5% 0% 13% Softening Softening Softening | Someconcern, but No concern fundamentals fundamentals fundamentals only in certain should leadto shouldleadto = shouldleadto _—...
Chart 23: Illustrative paths of Saudi fiscal balance Chart 24: Illustrative paths of Saudi government debt % of GDP % of GDP 30 100 “0 75 10 50 0 10 25 -20 0 So N xt oO co S N + Oo foe) oOo N i Oo foe) Oo N > co co oS N t+ oO 2c oO N st i<o} foe) oS a> a fo?) fo?) fo?) =] So o o...
…dd new plaintiffs to the old case. This new filing was accompanied by allegations connecting a catch-all of bold-faced names associated with Epstein more than ten years ago, including Dershowtiz and Britain’s Prince Andrew, to a “sex slave” ring—indeed, that Epstein’s purported s...
…e Tocqueville in his masterful analysis of the origins of the French Revolution and raised again in the early 1960s by James Davies’s well known “J-curve” theory of revolution.2 Something like this Huntingtonian process has unfolded in recent months in both Tunisia and Egypt. In...
From: Joscha Bach__________________________ Sent: 7/23/2016 10:02:05 PM To: jeffrey E. [[email protected]] Subject: Re: Mechanisms for learning Importance: High Am 23.07.2016 urn 04:41 schrieb jeffrey E. <[email protected]>: Cells seem to be mostly indistinguishable (exce...
as indicated. The information does not constitute UBS financial research and therefore may not reflect or be fully aligned with the
8. US Stocks with High China Sales vs. S&P 500 106 - - -— US Stocks with High China Sales vs. S&P 500 104 | 102 | “4 fy t as ‘ vey ' 4 1A, 4} ‘ fet 4 i} ww aA, o 100 LY i= Wwe t 4 BY = wpa U ! 6 ’ 17 ' E 98 | ! \ ° a i £ 4“ 2 96 | “OLA An o \ 1 eee » a en ed ss A \}’ an gv 94 4...
Analyst Certification |, Ronan Carr, CFA, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject securities and issuers. | also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, re...
Chart 8: Google ex-FX Y/Y growth trends 30% 25% 24%p9y% 24% 22% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2Q17E 3Q17E 4Q17E @ Total Google Revenue Y/Y (ex-FX) m= Google Website Y/Y (ex-FX) Source: Company reports, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research For core margins, we assume y/y contraction thro...
How the Best Universities Inadvertently Ruin Our Schools 193 status. Teaching future professors in one’s own field helps maintain that status, so graduate students pursuing Ph.D.s are quite often taken very seriously. Teaching graduate seminars is intellectually stimulat- ing, m...