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RecordingLi | https://t.co/r1C5Z5goAd 23 Jun 2016, | the 0 | NA
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011205.txt Jun 23, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…rs head to polling stations to...: After months of 08:04 - CEST | Kingdo campaignin... https://t.co/r26IcvMae€ | m PRI ‘Brexit' supporters are appealing to the UK's curry 23 Jun 2016, 0 | positive lovers to win Thursday's referendum. 08:04 - CEST https://t.co/ctgDV4H4rA https://t...

cumulus76 AéEI fin del sueAto europeo? 'Brexit' o 'Bremain’, los 23 Jun 2016, 0 | negative
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011199.txt Jun 23, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Antonio Chile cumulus76 AéEI fin del sueAto europeo? 'Brexit' o 'Bremain’, los 23 Jun 2016, 0 | negative britAinicos deciden suA futuro 06:56 - CEST https://t.co/nMXeMIOobB joanberna If you want, today... #brexit 23 Jun 2016, 0 | negative 06:56 - CEST shiontokoha | RT @nhk_news:...

wowalexisre | RT @BraddJaffy: To recap: 23 Jun 2016, | blackliv 132 | negative
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011256.txt Jun 23, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… a€”SCOTUS immigration 18:37 - CEST | esmatte a€”SCOTUS affirm. action r a€” Freddie Gray verdict a€”Germany gunman a€” Brexit a€” House sitin a€” VW settla€ | TRADER_INS | RT @MarketWatch: The dirty secret about the Brexit 23 Jun 2016, | Wash 9 | negative IDE vote: Ita€™s alla s...

Cristina_Cus | Goita! El primer que m'han plantufat avui nomA@s 23 Jun 2016, | SarriA - 0 | positive
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011242.txt Jun 23, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… que m'han plantufat avui nomA@s 23 Jun 2016, | SarriA - 0 | positive co arribar a la City (previa pregunta, of course)#Brexit 15:47 - CEST | Barcelo https://t.co/rNW2zzxij5k na - Catalun ya aspland&86 RT @Wotamoron: Us at moron think all mp's are alla | 23 Jun 2016, | England 83...

Global Cross Asset Strategy – Year Ahead
document TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014432.txt Nov 30, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…em. Think of buying EM and commodities in February. Think of selling defensive equities and bonds and buying banks post-Brexit. None of us will get that right all of the time, but the Warren Buffet maxim “be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy” is pa...

Chart 50: Utilities relative PE close to the 2013 low Chart 51: Chemicals / Industrials — re-rated b
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014484.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES UK —- Waiting for Brexit It’s useful to think about where the UK is today in terms of the four risk factors we identified in our February 2016 Brexit preview: 1) weaker GBP; 2}...

The old joke is that Year Aheads are frequently out of date by the end of year they are
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014463.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…end of year they are written in. There is a real danger of that this year given the speed which things have moved since Brexit and more recently the US election. The two charts below show that Financials and Cyclicals have clawed back around 2/3 of their underperformance vs Defen...

Cheapest tail-risk Hedges
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014772.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…are three key lessons on tail risks from 2016: 1) tail-risk probabilities are generally “fatter” than commonly assumed (Brexit and Trump’s victory); 2} hedging tail risks even in a world of low implied volatilies is hard if the directional implications are unclear (equity puts fo...

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document IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_028470.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…began its annual weeklong meeting on Sunday, and this year, the big question is whether Britons should vote again on Brexit.", "type": "text"},{"additions": [{"URL":"https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/21/world/ urope/eu-theresa-may-brexit-salzburg.html?partner=applenewséad keywor...

were underweight at the start of the year too and missed the lows. We recognized we
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014464.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…: Cyclicals vs Defensives: from -3.5SD to +3.2SD in 14 months Chart 12: Financials vs Defensives: -2.5SD to +2.5SD post Brexit 4 4 3 3 2 2 { 1 0 0 -{ -1 ry) -2 3 3 A a Deeede Dec-01 Dec-05 Dec-09 Dec-13 Dec-97 Dec-01 Dec-05 Dec-09 Dec-13 Financials vs Defensives - relative price...

2016 Future of Financials Conference
document TEXT-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014315.txt Nov 17, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…ow the bank’s actions to manage an interest rate cycle via balance sheet positioning protect on the downside (i.e. post-Brexit) while at the same time allow for an uptick when rates rise. WFC received numerous investor questions on when they would deploy its dry power ($572bn in...

Underweight Retail
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014490.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Underweight Retail In addition to Brexit concerns, we also see a number of fundamental reasons to reiterate out underperform on Retail. Structural margin pressures: Aside from Brexit, retailers face declining returns as online disruptors and discounters drive up competition. EBI...

recent price action for individual assets. However, the fact that we have had multiple
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014481.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… have moved too far too fast in a more general sense. The last comparable episode was in early July in the wake of the Brexit sell-off. At that point Defensives were hitting record over bought signals with Financials and Cyclicals seeing the opposite. Against the backdrop of hei...

Rotation trade — valuations have moved a long way
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014482.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…spective in the market moves to date. The scatter chart below compares the PE relative change since 8th July (the post Brexit valuation high / low for many sectors) against where PE relative ranks now compared to history. Essentially sectors in the top right have enjoyed a relat...