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right camps. So far, Macron has fostered a good rapport with
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012083.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…Macron has fostered a good rapport with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, whom we expect to be re- elected in September. The political risk in continental Europe is now centered in Italy, but we were encouraged that its far- left Five Star Movement suffered key defeats in recent r...

Last year witnessed a growing repudiation of
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014571.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Last year witnessed a growing repudiation of this status quo, evident in the surprise outcome of the UK and Italian referenda, as well as US presidential election. As we begin 2017, these winds of change are gaining force. Central banks are acknowledging the often counterproducti...

Consequences of Inaction — Investor Perspective
document IMAGES-006-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021049.txt Jul 2, 2009 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…als because growth, inflation, and Fed purchases matter more, and because income statements and balance sheets of many other developed countries (Such as Greece / Spain / Portugal / Ireland) are worse. e Long Term, Consequences of Inaction Could Be Severe If USA Inc.’s “manager...

Thank you for reviewing this publication
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014617.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…you for reviewing this publication which is intended to discuss general market activity, industry or sector trends, or other broad-based economic, market or political conditions. It should not be construed as research. Any reference to a specific company or security is for illust...

Notable trends and dislocations (US)
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014978.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Notable trends and dislocations (US) The Fed turns more hawkish, though vol remains subdued Last week, unsurprisingly the Fed opted to hike benchmark rates another 25bps. However, the market was more focused on the FOMC’s unexpectedly hawkish message, which indicated that it is...

Volatility in Numbers (02-Jun-17)
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_023602.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Volatility in Numbers (02-Jun-17) Table 8: Statistics on implied, realised, skew and term structure for 3-month and 12-month vols (developed markets) 3-month {2-month S&P500 ESTX50 FTSE DAX NKY HSI KOSPI S&P500 ESTX50 FTSE DAX NKY HSI KOSPI Implied 9.5% 13.0% 10.6% 12.2% 14.2%...

Chart 15: Buying an XLF 1m ATM call financed by selling a QQQ 1m call is Last week, we highlighted t
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014979.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…f elevated tech vol by buying XLF 1m ATM calls 43 financed by selling QQQ 1m ATM calls. After last week’s FOMC meeting, the case for such a trade grows even stronger as the 14 market thinks the Fed has become more hawkish, driving up 09 real rates and the USD. Amid this backdrop,...

(2006). Host-handling behavior: an innate component of foraging behavior in the parastaoid wasp
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012799.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

(2006). Host-handling behavior: an innate component of foraging behavior in the parastaoid wasp Ampulex compressa. Ethology, 112(7), 699-706; Wedman, S., Bradler, S., & Rust, J. (2007). The first fossil leaf insect: 47 million years of specialized cryptic morphology and behavior....

It follows that if real GDP is understated, then
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014548.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

It follows that if real GDP is understated, then what appears to be a slow recovery is not as slow as reported and what appears to be a period of low productivity growth is not as low as reported. We believe that the evidence favors the mismeasurement argument. At a September 20...

Exhibit 19: US Equity Volatility
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014553.txt Dec 31, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… 40 4 30 5 18.8 ie 8/22/08. ; ee) (4/12/10) 0 + 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Data through December 31, 2016. Note: The red arrows show the S&P 500's (SPX's) peak-to-trough declines around each episode. Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg. 45.8 (5/20/10) 48.0 Me 40...

Chart 13: The 2016 election move implied by the VIX term structure is
document IMAGES-008-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_025985.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Chart 13: The 2016 election move implied by the VIX term structure is, in our estimate’, approx. 1.4%... ---0--- Interpolated Oct future (level where Sep/Oct/Nov Fly = 0) —2e— Expected Oct future based on median level of ~1M/2M/3M fly em=@=—= \//X futures (adjusted for holidays)...

Banks and insurance companies
document IMAGES-001-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012076.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…taining a strong financial system. Bank managements should be motivated to pursue best practic- es, having experienced the con- sequences of bad behavior long after the Global Financial Crisis. Tighter regulations, enacted in the aftermath of the Global Fi- nancial Crisis, inclu...

Jan Loeys Global Asset Allocation
document IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026578.txt Nov 9, 2012 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Jan Loeys Global Asset Allocation (1-212) 834-5874 The J.P. Morgan View J.P. Morgan [email protected] 09 November 2012 Disclosures Analyst Certification: The research analyst(s) denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple research analysts...