… one for Libya. First, Syria was hard. It's a country with a sophisticated air defense system, chemical and biological weapons, and a great many friends -- including Iran and Hezbollah, which are capable of striking back. Marshaling support at the United Nations, mobilizing NATO...
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… that exponential technological progress is a relatively modern phenomenon and not all of itis good. He regarded atomic weapons and the development of missiles with nuclear warheads as a recipe for the suicide of the human species. He compared the headlong exploitation of the pla...
… towards armageddon through muddle and miscalculation. The threat is only in abeyance and still looms over us. Nuclear weapons are based on 20" century science. I’ll focus later in my talk on 21* century sciences -- bio, cyber, and AI — which offer huge potential benefits but al...
…he first two involve not getting stuck in suboptimal Nash equilibria. An out-of- control arms race in lethal autonomous weapons that drives the price of automated anonymous assassination toward zero will be very hard to stop once it gains momentum. The second goal would require r...
…l warlords and fights among fragmented FSA factions. Plus, this unit can handle other key tasks, like securing chemical weapons.” This Syrian strategist argues in another memo that the rebels must “speak to the silent majority, many who did not care about the revolution, and the...
…ponse to cyber threats will become critical enablers for both industry and military in protecting large networks. Cyber weapons (e.g., malware) rapidly grow in their sophistication, and in their ability to act autonomously and to adapt to specific conditions encountered in a syst...
…rcepted. We hit nearly 1,500 targets over the seven-day period, mostly launch-pads, Hamas government installations and weapons stores, but also a number of apartment complexes being used by Hamas as bases or firing points. Bibi rightly pointed out that we were forced to fight a...
…ying and developing and hiding such tools on an exhausting, never-ending security treadmill because, unlike traditional weapons, which could be stockpiled to use whenever they were needed in the future, the holes of the most valuable zero-days might be patched at any moment, maki...
…began. Hamas’s control of Gaza appears firmer than ever, and the looser tunnel patrols in Egypt mean greater access to weapons as well. But opinion surveys show that its more secular rival, Fatah, is more popular. That may explain why an attempt at political unity with Fatah is...
…f spies, the movement of troops, the contents of codes and ciphers, the location of satellites and the nature of secret weapons. Nor can any student of history doubt that there are unnecessary secrets, like old and useless information that remains classified by bureaucratic inert...
…d existence of such technology might serve as a deterrent against their use by anyone in much the same way that nuclear weapons have served as a deterrent, although ACWs would likely have to be used to devastating effect first to establish their efficacy and threat. However, once...
…not exclusively -- to Lebanon's Shiite community. Hezbollah is also Lebanon's largest militia, the only one to keep its weapons and rebrand its armed elements as an "Islamic resistance" in response to the terms of the 1989 Taif Accord, which ended the Lebanese Civil War. While t...
…tern neighborhoods of Beirut. The idea of a ground assault — street-to- street battles in an area packed with fighters, weapons and tens of thousands of civilians — didn’t bear thinking about. After the war, some of the officers around Beirut said Arik seemed to hoping that the P...
… and cities, and could carry not just conventional explosives but chemical warheads. Moreover, Saddam had used chemical weapons: during the Iran-Iraq war, and to kill thousands of his own restive Kurdish population in the town of Halabja in the spring of 1988. Even the prospect...