direct encounter with President Hassan Rouhani of Iran or making concessions ina meeting with President Moon Jae-in of South Korea that they fear could undermine efforts to denuclearize North Korea.", "type": "text"}, {"additions": [{"URL":"https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/22/worl...
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Japan Economics Viewpoint Ready for ignition 18 November 2016 Key takeaways ° We are upbeat on Japan's outlook and think consensus is underestimating the strength of medium-term GDP and inflation. ° While the consensus looks for just 0.8% growth next year, we expect growth o...
Price stability can matter. The United States has managed to avoid double-digit inflation since the Volker reforms of the 1980s. But the danger remains. Modigliani was right to worry. A law making real dollars legal tender might prompt better measurements of inflation. Many eco...
The Washington Institute Year of Decision: U.S. Policy toward Iran in 2013 James F. Jeffrey and Thomas Pickering February 12, 2013 -- On February 7, 2013, James F. Jeffrey and Thomas Pickering addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Ambassador Jeffrey, a former a...
Exhibit 91: EM Local Debt Currencies and Developed Market Interest Rates Rising global interest rates would be a headwind to EM local debt. % 1/1/2016 = 100 1.2 Average G3 10-Year Rate 34 EM Local Debt FX (Right, Inverted) 96 1.0 r 98 0.8 00 0.6 02 04 0.4 06 0.2 08 0.0 10 Jan-...
…8 Grant Smith066474AeMailContent.htm In a high profile case, my client was asked to submit to an FBI interview at their offices in North Miami Beach. Feigning naivety, I asked where the court reporter was. I was told there was no court reporter. I then asked where the tape record...
in 2011 called the law a calamity that increases business uncertainty and undermines growth. Under Atkins, the transition team posted a statement that it will be “working to dismantle the Dodd-Frank Act and replace it with new policies to encourage economic growth and job creatio...
Restructure Social Security: Policy Options From Report of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform Future Social Security Policy Options Deficit Reduction’ Gradually reduce future benefit payments to high earners while Le) increasing them for low earners b...
court. The president called home to tell his friends how natural and easy this was, and how, inexplicably and suspiciously, Obama had messed it all up. There “has been a little strain, but there won’t be strain with this administration,” the president assured Hamad bin Isa Al Kha...
The Washington Institute Year of Decision: U.S. Policy toward Iran in 2013 James F. Jeffrey and Thomas Pickering February 12, 2013 -- On February 7, 2013, James F. Jeffrey and Thomas Pickering addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Ambassador Jeffrey, a former a...
Eye on the Market | July 25, 2011 J.P Morgan Topics: US debt ceiling negotiations, a more ambitious European bailout plan (finally), and how large cap growth stocks and rising corporate profits are patiently waiting for both of them to end I have a feeling that revenue increase...
US auto sales in the wake of Fukushima Itlooks like pent-up demand for Japanese cars has MoM change in SAAR auto sales, millions of units caught up, SAAR million units 1.0 id 0.5 0.0 nn oS Ss oo BJapan -1.0 BUS+Other 4 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 4 2009 2010 2011 2012...
Tail risk 4: Bo) triggers curve steepening and vol rise Bo) keeps yield curve anchored out to 10y: 1y10s20s conditional bear steepener The Bank of Japan (Bo)) has faced a tough 2016. Having switched its policy target from quantity to interest rates at its September Monetary Poli...
Exhibit 23: Policy Rate Path Projections We expect the pace of monetary policy tightening to accelerate but remain benign. Federal Funds Rate (%) 405 ISG View GIR View Market Implied Median Federal Reserve Projection 3.5 5 3.0 25 + 2.0 - 0.5 0.0 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 D...
Spare capacity (Iraq is trying to develop same); 4. Who has strategic influence over ME oil will matter; 5. Oil and global GDP are connected. In some ways, our energy policy may become more difficult. One big question is whether China will continue their policy of non-interventio...