… typical realized Bf "election day" move of 1.5% (see 19 Chart 14) 46 “Sept6 Oct 16 Novi6 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Daily data from 2-Jun-09 to 5-Aug-16. *Day count adjustment = we adjust the VIX futures curve to reflect the Trade-Day/252 day-count convention...
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…ts should be motivated to pursue best practic- es, having experienced the con- sequences of bad behavior long after the Global Financial Crisis. Tighter regulations, enacted in the aftermath of the Global Fi- nancial Crisis, including Basel III and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Refo...
Jan Loeys Global Asset Allocation (1-212) 834-5874 The J.P. Morgan View J.P. Morgan [email protected] 09 November 2012 Disclosures Analyst Certification: The research analyst(s) denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple research analysts...
… 1.5y 2y RTY change (RHS) SPX change (RHS) SPX 17-May === SPX 1-Jun RTY 17-May =——_RTY 1-Jun Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. Chart 20: 2017 is already the 5" calmest year for the VIX with 76 YTD closes below 12. Despite the short-lived vol spike on 17-May, the VIX ha...
…s data (used in earlier slides). For more details on underlying assumptions, please refer to Morgan Stanley Research’s Global Outlook piece “Sovereign Subjects: Ask Not Whether Governments Will Default, But How,” 8/25/10. KP Source: Arnaud Mares, Morgan Stanley Research. www.kp...
…e start of the US occupation (2001) to the present, and especially from contract start (2011) to end (2016): http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-spoils-of-war- afghanist.../91; (4) and that the award Bud Horton helped secure just as Sue's contract was coming to an end was not only b...
Exhibit 98: Full-Year Average Global Crude Oil Supply and Demand Oil consumption in 2017 could exceed supply for the first time since 2013. Million Barrels/Day 100 Average Forecast World Production oS + World Consumption 98 Production Exceeded Consumption wa Between 2014 a...
ACKRELL CAPITAL CHAPTERV_ Global Cannabis Regulation In 2012, the presidents of Colombia, Guatemala and Mexico requested the UN to focus its next special session on drugs on policy reform rather than on a mere progress review and continuation of the same policies. In 2014, the G...
…% 0.1% 53.0% 0.6% TWSE 10.7% 0.3% 8.2% 1.2% 1.5% 14.1% 2.9% 0.4% 12.6% -1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research Chart 41: Index correlation is generally further away from their 10-year Except for the ASX200, Asian stock and index vols are more lows while...
… precipitated notable declines in US shale output (see Exhibit 94). Lower oil prices have also supported above- average global demand growth, helping to absorb excess inventories. Lastly, OPEC agreed to lower production in November 2016, while also securing a promise from its si...
…t of the 9/11 attacks." The establishment claims that the wars fought by America in Asia since 9/11 have been part of a global "war on terror." But this "war on terror" has been fought in alliance with Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Pakistan - precisely the principal political and fina...
…f course, the liaison between the NSA and its allies was a two way street. In 2013, none of these other countries had a global network of geosynchronous sensors in outer space and under the ocean that could monitor signals from missile launching, submarine, military deployments,...
…ave to face a very unpleasant fact: And that unpleasant fact is that there is a major war brewing, a war that’s already global. It’s going global in scale, and today’s technology, today’s media, today’s access to weapons of mass destruction, it’s going to lead to a global conflic...
…at Asda’s expense 8.3% 7.8% 7.3% ——Retail EBITDA margin 6.8% PP FF FF gh gh gh gh gr gh gh Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Bloomberg, Datastream, IBES Chart 68: Retail is expensive on a range of metrics Tesco Aldi Lidl Waitrose Morrisons Sainsbury's Asda -100 -...
…0y (RHS, inverted) 40 0.95 01/10 01/11 O12 0193 0194 O15 01/16 01/08 01/10 01/12 01/14 01/16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES UK —- Waiting for Brexit It’s useful to think about where the U...