Closed at 902 (10 Mar 2016): Buy AUD/KRW, entry: 832, target: 920, stop: 859 (revised from 790) Closed at 38.25 (18 Apr 2016): Sell TRY/JPY, entry: 43.40, target: 36.15, stop: 45.25 Closed at 8.27: Sell USD/NOK spot 8.685, target: 8.27, stop-loss: 8.60 (revised from 9.00} New...
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Price objective basis & risk Alphabet (GOOGL / GOOG) Our price objective is $1025/$1025, representing 17x our core 2018 Google non-GAAP EPS estimate (excluding non-Google losses), plus $118/share in cash, or 21x core Google GAAP EPS plus cash. Alphabet has traded at 12-24x forw...
Expedia (Buy, $146 PO) Stock view: 1Q faces tough comps, but should clear way for strength into ‘18 We think 1Q expectations are somewhat muted as Expedia has highlighted several earnings headwinds in early 2017, including incremental cloud migration spend, higher marketing spe...
Citigroup Inc. (C) We use a three-factor valuation framework (P/E, P/TBV, DCF} to arrive at our $60 PO, assigning a 0.9x multiple to 2017E TBV and 11x multiple on '17E blended NA and EM earnings. We have weighted the P/E and P/TBV factors equally at 40%, and our DCF analysis by...
target. It is possible that Trump’s election could weaken fiscal discipline in the Eurozone over the medium term, but we are more concerned by the non-trivial risk that the ECB may disappoint in the December meeting by either not extending quantitative easing (QE) beyond next Mar...
…to Party. The journalist to whom he wrote On December 1, 2012, was Glenn Greenwald, the previously-mentioned Rio-based columnist for the Guardian. Greenwald had not always been an activist journalist. Up until 2004, Greenwald was a litigation lawyer at the elite New York firm...
this report or its contents. Bankof America 8 Japan Macro Watch | 14 November 2016 Merrill Lynch HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014431
Historic energy sector liberalization Partial privatization of energy sector assets could represent one of the cornerstones of the ambitious medium-term diversification strategy, and, if confirmed, serve as a highly visible and historic milestone. Such privatizations could ease...
GrubHub (Buy, $49 PO) Stock view: Marketing ramp should drive diner growth re-acceleration In recent quarters, GrubHub has been leveraging a series of recent investments, including expanded delivery, more restaurants on the platform, repositioned brand driving more effective ad...
Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc (CFR) To arrive at our $74 price objective, we employed a three-factor valuation methodology that incorporates target P/E, target P/TBV and a DCF model. For our P/E valuation, we apply a 15x earnings multiple on CFR's 2017E core earnings. For our P/TBV v...
* EUR is underpricing Brexit and that shorting Euro was a cheaper way to express such a view via options. CHF tends to perform strongly when risks become more localized. Closed on 28 Aug 2016: Buy EUR/USD 6m 1.00/1.20 strangle for 155 usd pips (off 1.1020 spot, DF two-way vols...
Rotation trade — valuations have moved a long way While technical metrics suggest a pause is due in the reflation rotation, we have also seen a significant amount of ground covered from a valuation perspective in the market moves to date. The scatter chart below compares the PE...
From: Sent: 9/26/2016 8:59:46 PM To: Subject: humor and trump and evolutionary logic was pleased that Robert Lynch's work and my own were cited in a Nation article on the lack of humor of our Republican standard bearer https://www.thenation.com/article/have-you-ever-seen-donald-t...
Methodology Repatriation impact We estimated cumulative overseas profits for the S&P 500 excluding Financials and Real Estate via three sources: 1) Bloomberg data on cash held overseas (if disclosed/available}, 2) BofAML analyst estimates on cumulative overseas profits or cash,...
Chart 19: Sector EPS impact from ending Chart 20: Sector EPS impact from ending Chart 21: Sector EPS impact from ending interest deductibility (15% rate; ex- fin, utes) interest deductibility (20% rate; ex- fin, utes) interest deductibility (25% rate; ex- fin, utes) 8% 6% 4% 2% 0...