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when China’s leadership intervened in the local
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014565.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

when China’s leadership intervened in the local equity markets and adjusted the trading band around the renminbi, and by 104 basis points in late 2015 and early 2016 when the leadership changed the reference currency from the dollar to a basket of 13 currencies. If US financial c...

We do not believe this tightening cycle will lead to a US recession in 2017
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014559.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

We do not believe this tightening cycle will lead to a US recession in 2017. could derail the last innings of this recovery and bull market. The first three are low-probability risks in our view, the next three risks have a high probability of occurring but their impact is unce...

dictators or military strongmen. Then, in his telling, he
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_022914.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

dictators or military strongmen. Then, in his telling, he was representing a series of vastly wealthy people and families—not just doing their bidding or their investing, but helping them to navigate the ambitions of their wealth. If they had big dreams before, it’s nothing to wh...

whose turf, that, when they want to see Epstein, they
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024236.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

whose turf, that, when they want to see Epstein, they tend to come to him. He’s created a world and you enter it. His conversations are less meeting-like—focused and agenda-driven—then narrative. In effect: the outside world comes to Epstein’s and he eagerly solicits reports. It...

Exhibit 94: US Crude Oil Production
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014607.txt Nov 30, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…Investment Strategy Group, US Department of Energy. Exhibit 95: OPEC Crude Oil Production OPEC producers have exceeded their quota 90% of the time since 2000. Million Barrels/Day 36 OPEC Production Subject to Quota = Historical OPEC Quota Levels 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 2...

Exhibit 85: Moody’s Liquidity Stress Index and
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014603.txt Nov 30, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Exhibit 85: Moody’s Liquidity Stress Index and Default Rates Leading indicators suggest the path of defaults for high yield is lower. Index (%) 25 Trailing 12-Month Rate (%) r 16 Composite Liquidity Stress Index SSS Speculative-Grade Issuer-Weighted Default Rate (Right) a Ua...

Investment Gold man
document IMAGES-009-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026968.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

… may include investments no longer owned in current or closed accounts. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. To request the most current or historical performance data, or asset classification schema information, please contact your PWM tea...

Exhibit 39: CFO Optimism About the US Economy
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014575.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Exhibit 39: CFO Optimism About the US Economy Chief financial officers’ confidence is at its highest level in a decade. % 90 % of CFOs More Optimistic Than Previous Quarter Recession 64.1 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Data through December 2016. Note: The survey questi...

Exhibit 24: US Real GDP During the Longest Post-WWII Recoveries
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014561.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Exhibit 24: US Real GDP During the Longest Post-WWII Recoveries post-WWII period. Beginning of Recovery = 100 60 Mar-61 Dec-82 50 Mar-31 Aug-61-Nov-66 Current (Jun-09) Did NOT Trigger 40 Recession 30 Mar-83-Aug-84 Did NOT Trigger Recession 20 00 Feb-94—Apr-95 Did NOT Trigger...

GDP growth by about 0.7 percentage point, similar
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014549.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

GDP growth by about 0.7 percentage point, similar to their estimate reported in our Outlook last year. Of course, not all experts believe that there is a mismeasurement problem. Notable among them is Chad Syverson of the University of Chicago, who raises four points in making thi...

Key financial market driver 2 - US policy
document IMAGES-007-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024144.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Key financial market driver 2 - US policy Key questions e Will the economic outlook deteriorate? Will QE3 become necessary? e How will the election outcome change fiscal policy deliberations? © Can politicians find an agreement to avoid sharp fiscal contraction in early 2013...

Ann Lewis - President, NoLimits. Fmr Director of Communications to the U.S. President (1997-2000)
document IMAGES-002-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013487.txt House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Jonathan Levin — Prof and Chair of Dept of Economics, Stanford. 2011 Winner of the John Bates Clark Medal. Ann Lewis - President, NoLimits. Fmr Director of Communications to the U.S. President (1997-2000). Rob LoCasio — CEO, LivePerson (NASDAQ: LSPN). Jeremy Liew — GP, LightSpee...

Exhibit 23: Policy Rate Path Projections
document IMAGES-003-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014560.txt Dec 31, 2016 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

Exhibit 23: Policy Rate Path Projections We expect the pace of monetary policy tightening to accelerate but remain benign. Federal Funds Rate (%) 405 ISG View GIR View Market Implied Median Federal Reserve Projection 3.5 5 3.0 25 + 2.0 - 0.5 0.0 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 D...

Fareed Zakaria: Trump sells America short
email IMAGES-012-HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_033482.txt Sep 17, 2015 House Oversight Committee — Epstein Estate Records (Nov 2025)

…co are not “killing us” By Fareed Zakaria, Thursday, September 17, 2015 Donald Trump’s presidential bid is centered on the promise of his personal talents. He says he’s the “most successful person ever to run for the presidency, by far.” (George Washington and Dwight Eisenhower,...