US equities S&P 500 (24 Oct): 1,409 (last publication: 1,433) UBS View S&P 500 (6-month target): 1,460 ¢ We keep our preference for US equities relative to other developed equity markets. Earnings continued to hold up better than in other regions during the recent economic slow...
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From: J [[email protected]] Sent: 12/4/2018 3:41:44 PM To: Kathy Ruemmler ______________________________ Subject: Re: Slowing economy could increase pressure on Big Tech - Axios easy and beneficial for you. . I will try to negotiate am automkoatic reset if.. such and such and...
2017 OUTLOOK Dear Clients, Readers of our previous Outlook publications may recall that this page typically summarizes the key themes of our economic and financial market prospects for the coming year. However, for 2017 we decided that a brief overview would not suffice, given...
Source Entry: H\Macintosh HD\root\Users\jee\Library\Messages\Archive\2019-05-20\11 on 2019-05-17 at 11.41.39.ichat Service: iMessage Start Time: 05/09/19 05:55:44 PM (579142544) End Time: 05/20/19 07:32:56 PM (580098776) Last Message ID: 29287 Chat Room: Participants: jee, Presen...
Eye on the Market | October 22, 2012 J.P Morgan The most important energy developments of 2012: how countries are planning for Independence Day First, a few updates: e It looks like sub-2.5% global GDP growth is showing up in the weak outlook provided by some bell-weather cycl...
Jan Loeys Global Asset Allocation (1-212) 834-5874 The J.P. Morgan View J.P. Morgan [email protected] 09 November 2012 Disclosures Analyst Certification: The research analyst(s) denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple research analysts...
Exhibit 98: Full-Year Average Global Crude Oil Supply and Demand Oil consumption in 2017 could exceed supply for the first time since 2013. Million Barrels/Day 100 Average Forecast World Production oS + World Consumption 98 Production Exceeded Consumption wa Between 2014 a...
Chart 50: Utilities relative PE close to the 2013 low Chart 51: Chemicals / Industrials — re-rated but PE-rel not excessive 1.20 -0.5 1.30 1.15 0.0 425 4 0.5 10 10 1.20 1.05 , 15 4.15 1.00 2.0 1.10 0.95 25 1.05 ai an — Chemicals / Industrials PE-rel _— ——PE-relative UTILITIES 1....
Concerns over stagflation return On the surface, this has been an uneventful year for the US rates market so far. At the start of January, the market was pricing two Fed hikes for the year. Six weeks later, the market is still pricing only two Fed hikes for the year. The yield o...
…ave already fallen by 32 percent nationwide from the 2006 peak. And they have further to go. The latest readings on the S&P/Case-Schiller home price index, one prominent measure, showed another record decline in May. At some point, the declines will moderate and stop being record...
… annualized total return 5.2% higher (2.8% from better price appreciation and 2.4% from dividend reinvestment) than the S&P 500, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose from 3.6% to 4.9% (+130 bps) over this period. Valuation re-rating and earnings growth from generators, as econom...
We estimate that it is in 3yly, 2y2y and 2y1ly that the selloff would be largest (75-85bp — see Table 5) were the OIS curve to align with the median dots up to end of 2019. Options are attractive to position for a selloff in those forwards for two main reasons: 1. Volatilities...
Asian equities (ex-Japan) MSCI Asia ex-Japan (27 June): 469 (last month: 466) UBS View MSCI Asia ex-Japan (6-month target): 515 ¢ The region continued to show high volatility last month, with its P/BV temporarily close to 2008 lows. ¢ Hong Kong and Singapore markets’ domestic fu...
…y • We are recording unprecedented divergences in falling equity vol with rising rates vol post Trump's win. Intra- day S&P realized vol collapsed from near 60% to below 20% in 2d [Chart 1] • While equities have shown less conviction over what a Trump win means (given strong sect...
Disclosures Important Discl osures BofA Merrill Lynch Research Personnel (including the analyst(s) responsible for this report) receive compensation based upon, among other factors, the overall profitability of Bank of America Corporation, including profits derived from invest...