…er risks. The government’s expansive fiscal plan, with a proposed budget deficit of 2.4% of GDP, may be rejected by the European Union commission and result in rating downgrades. While the EU is likely to manage this situation in its usual incremental and reactive way, the possib...
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…er risks. The government’s expansive fiscal plan, with a proposed budget deficit of 2.4% of GDP, may be rejected by the European Union commission and result in rating downgrades. While the EU is likely to manage this situation in its usual incremental and reactive way, the possib...
…ve not been rising in the increasingly globalised world. The crucial question for investors as we enter a busy year for European politics (see table opposite} is whether the populism train will gather pace or terminate at the Eurozone. Italy risks elevated, but risks two way and...
largely as a result of the European recession. With European natural gas prices at 3x US
Table 1: Current cross asset trades Asset Trade idea Strategist Long European Quality Yield Screen (yield) James Barty Long SXDP Index Ronan Carr Equities Long Nikkei Shusuke Yamada Long European index dividend futures James Barty Long MSCI Asia ex-Japan Ajay Kapur Long RTY shor...
Europe and its institutions. Through which he hopes to coordinate the populist right in view of the European elections which will be held in spring 2019. Objective: to compete with George Soros, the American billionaire of Hungarian origin, benefactor of the Democratic party, wh...
…ign firms, as a condition of operating in China, is one of the main complaints of both the Trump administration and the European Union. But China’s ability to pressure US companies also encompasses three other more elusive dimensions. First, recognizing the importance of America...
…omplications from pneumonia. Maria Schaumayer, 82. The Austrian economist who in 1990 became the first woman to lead a European central bank. Died Jan. 23. John M. “Jack” McCarthy, 85. The stock-market optimist who from 1983 to 1992 was co-managing partner at Lord Abbett & Co.,...
…have been largely tactical rather than strategic, reflecting the fact that he is fundamentally a domestic leader with a European-style socialist agenda but little or no foreign-policy vision. This lack of an international agenda is why the president may be called a pragmatist, bu...
…fits from his having lived 10 years abroad (5 years in Asia covering the Asian utilities and 5 years in Europe covering European utilities) and 11 years in the US. In addition, as Managing Partner, Jos controls all major decisions at Electron. e Track Record (7 years) Electron’...
… in Europe, a victory of the far right in the French presidential election could unleash fears about France exiting the European Union and endanger the survival of the euro. Still, we do not yet accord a high enough probability to these risks to alter our base case, which assume...
…Financial Promotion) Order 2005. It must not be further transmitted to any other person without our consent. Notice to European Union Investors: Individuals producing recommendations are required to obtain certain licenses by the Financial Regulatory Authority (FINRA). You can r...
…a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the National Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Medicine, and the European Academy of Sciences and Arts. Damasio has received many awards including the Prince of Asturias Award in Science and Technology, the Honda Prize, the K...
…ore victories for Brexit and Trump seemed possible, Bannon declared there was a “global tea party movement” and praised European far-right parties like Great Britain’s UKIP and France’s National Front. Bannon also suggested that a racist element in far-right parties “all gets kin...
…ITH his panoramic view of world affairs sharper than ever, Paul Keating blames the current global crisis on blunders by European and US leaders and warns that Australia must rediscover the keys to national success. Interviewed in his Sydney office, furnished in a style he calls "...