Exhibit 34: US GDP per Hour Worked We expect a rebound in productivity growth from generational lows. % YoY 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 Data through 2015. Source: Investment Strategy Group, OECD. Exhibit 35: Goldman Sachs US Current Activity In...
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At this juncture, the Indian rupee seems to be the only one in the region that is expected to display a much lower sensitivity to US rates, outperforming others within Asia. We expect the Monetary Authority of Singapore to keep the SGD NEER in the weaker side of the band for the...
J.P Morgan The J.P. Morgan View Local forces are dominating e Asset allocation — Local risks and opportunities trump global forces in driving investment opportunities. Cross-market correlations to remain much lower than in recent years. e Economics — US activity data are comi...
growth rate = capital productivity + thrift rate. (4.4b) Notice that we must change the sign before “consumption rate” to find thrift. Change downward in consumption rate is change upward in thrift rate, and conversely. Further change in growth rate = change in capital product...
Consequences of Inaction — Investor Perspective e Short Term, No Problem Yet Global bond investors, in part, have looked past USA Inc.’s deteriorating financials because growth, inflation, and Fed purchases matter more, and because income statements and balance sheets of many o...
Bottom Line, as Data in This Presentation Indicate... USA Inc.’s expenses far exceed revenue — and government projections imply this trend will get worse, not better. In addition - while not addressed in depth in this presentation - USA Inc. (while still a global powerhouse), a...
hasn’t resulted in an inflationary surge (core inflation measured over 3 months just came in below 2%), so why not keep doing it? Aren’t these charts amazing? Rising Federal debt? No problem for Treasury markets Rising Fed balance sheet? No problem forinflation Percentof GDP ‘Yi...
US auto sales in the wake of Fukushima Itlooks like pent-up demand for Japanese cars has MoM change in SAAR auto sales, millions of units caught up, SAAR million units 1.0 id 0.5 0.0 nn oS Ss oo BJapan -1.0 BUS+Other 4 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11 Jan-12 4 2009 2010 2011 2012...
assume $4.7/share in value for the core business based Verizon's pending acquisition value of $4.83bn less $300mn for potential revisions. Downside risks to our PO are: 1} Alibaba stock valuation declines, 2) Alibaba valuation discount is higher than expected, 3) Verizon's pendi...
LAFFER ASSOCIATES Supply-Side Investment Research May 19, 2016 10-yr T-Note: 1.86% DJIA: 17,526.62 NASDAQ: 4,739.12 S&P 500: 2,047.63 S&P 500 Undervalued: 151.8% GAME ON [Updated 7/6/2016] By Arthur B. Laffer, Ph.D. Summary To save you the agony of plodding through this fascinat...
Economic Research: How Increasing Income Inequality Is Dampening U.S. Economic Growth, And Possible Ways To Change The Tide levels were increasing at the rate they were 15 years ago, the level of potential GDP would be 1%, or $185 billion higher in five years. A more educated wo...
From: US GIO [[email protected]] Sent: 3/29/2013 8:48:11 PM To: Undisclosed recipients: Subject: The J.P. Morgan View: Local forces are dominating Attachments: imagel.gif; image2.gif; JPM_The J.P. Morgan View_2013-03-28 1084792.pdf J.P Morgan Global Asset Allocation The J....
Exhibit 96: OPEC 2016 Production Cut Agreement and Recent Changes If fully implemented, OPEC's proposed cut would reverse production growth from the prior 6 months. Million Barrels/Day 14 m Production Change in 6 Months Leading up to the November 2016 OPEC Meeting 12 m Novembe...
COWEN COLLABORATIVE INSIGHTS February 25, 2019 ADDENDUM Stocks Mentioned In Important Disclosures Ticker Company Name WEED Canopy Growth Corporation GWPH GW Pharmaceuticals Plc TLRY Tilray TPB Turning Point Brands Important Disclosures and Information Relating to Cowen Wash...
We use an equal weighted, three-factor valuation framework (P/E, P/TBV, DCF) to arrive at our PO of $14. We assigned a 1.2x multiple to 2Q17E TBV and a 12x multiple on 2017E EPS, with lower PTBV/PE multiple than peers assigned due to the higher perceived risk of their lending mod...