followed by Japan and Europe. Inflows to China could be
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capital mobility restrictions and beneficial ownership.
short SGD/INR and long PEN/CLP. For more neutral
as they are highly correlated with USD and carry
isolating global and idiosyncratic sources of risks
exhibit negative skewness and fat tails. Even
for the last two years and the years 2013-2014
LatAm and EMEA currencies are more sensitive to shocks in
we could stop the analysis here and choose those
and focusing on those trades where ex-ante high carry is consistent
we choose our best carry trades across EM and DM.
coupled with a favorable external position and
the currency remains overvalued and highly
and gives the ruble the best risk-adjusted carry
and the currencies are not expensive relative to