Then there’s Apple. The trade war combined with China’s slowing economy present a significant short-term threat to the company’s profits. As we note in section 1, smartphone handset sales in China in August were reported at 32.6 million units, a decline of 20.9% year-over-year a...
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Global Asset Allocation The J.P. Morgan View 09 November 2012 Jan Loeys (1-212) 834-5874 [email protected] that outcome. But avoiding the worst case requires a short-term bargain plus a long-term compromise on a scale not seen in Washington since the Clinton- Congressional...
…rust, the first such hearings since the 1990s. • The FTC revealed the hiring of Lina Kahn—heralded for authoring a groundbreaking antitrust argument against Amazon—as an advisor. (See section 5 for more.) • Republican Senator Orrin Hatch asked the FTC to reopen a 2013 antitrust c...
Then there’s Apple. The trade war combined with China’s slowing economy present a significant short-term threat to the company’s profits. As we note in section 1, smartphone handset sales in China in August were reported at 32.6 million units, a decline of 20.9% year-over-year a...
Exhibit 36: Contribution from Change in Inventories to US GDP Growth Inventories should support growth after five quarters of subtracting from GDP. Recession Contribution Percentage Points, 5-Quarter Moving Total 14 5 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 Data through 03...
the Fed expected to see the economy ambling along at a respectable 2.65% annual pace over the long run. By
Exhibit 19: US Equity Volatility Spikes in equity volatility have corresponded with major global shocks. VIX Level 30 () Global Financial Crisis 80.9 ® First Greek Bailout (11/20/08) @) Debt Ceiling, S&P Downgrade, 70 -| Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis G) Greek Default 60 + @...
Exhibit 12: US Labor Productivity Growth Periods of slow productivity growth have been followed by periods of stronger productivity gains. Average Annual Growth Rate (%) 40 3.5 2 2 1889-1917 1917-1927 1927-1940 1940-1948 1948-1973 1973-1995 1995-2004 2004-2015 Data through...
wealth that had been assembled at an eye-watering pace.
GDP has grown at half the average pace of
capital spending and export data from China show improvement from the weak pace over the summer
we expect BOK to sound cautious with the pace of KRW
thereby increasing debt at an unsustainable pace. Such
which is half the pace of the median and
an expansionary budget and a more pedestrian pace of austerity implementation; and