June 2017 Breaking Down Democracy: Goals, Strategies, and Methods of Modern Authoritarians by Arch Puddington CONTENTS Executive Summary 1 Introduction: Modern Authoritarians: Origins, Anatomy, Outlook 5 Chapters 1. Validating Autocracy through the Ballot 10 2. Propaganda at Hom...
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CHART 1: CHINA POPULATION DISTRIBUTION 2015 100+ ; 95-99 | 90-94 it 85-89 OE 80-84 een eee 75-79 | 70-74 a 65-69 ee 60-64 ee y 9 a 2950-54 NN EE>E=—E>——E——E—E—E=—{—E:E—E<{EE 45-49 oo —_ee 40-44 Le 35-39 NN EE—E—E<;_—E=—£{T—E=E£E—EEoEo 30-34 OOE—EOO—E—E—E——Ee 25-29 _ eS ee 20-24...
From: Ens, Amanda Sent: Friday, November 11, 2016 4:04 PM To: ‘jeffrey E.'; "Richard Kahn' Subject: Financials trade for Monday It’s not too late to buy financials as a medium term trade. They’ve run up a lot this week but we’re getting endless calls from generalists asking wh...
(4.5) shows something about “balance” or the state where capital, consumption and output grow at the same rate. It confirms the standard teaching that balance is possible, although not compelled, when growth rate is constant. It also shows that balance is impossible when growth r...
Economic Research: How Increasing Income Inequality Is Dampening U.S. Economic Growth, And Possible Ways To Change The Tide After-tax income After-tax income is equal to market income plus transfer income minus federal taxes paid. In assessing the impact of various taxes, indiv...
Financial Experts Tend to ‘Assume What Can Go Wrong, Will Go Wrong, and Usually Manage Expenses in that Way e In projecting scenarios, financial experts would note that USA Inc.’s revenue and expenses are highly correlated to economic changes — for example, a 0.1 percentage poi...
Eurozone equities Euro Stoxx (27 June): 217 (last month: 215) UBS View Euro Stoxx (6-month target): 223 ¢ The crisis in the Eurozone will remain the main driver in the coming months. After the elections in Greece, progress on the reform program will be closely monitored. Spain a...
Key financial market driver 2 - US policy Key questions e Will the economic outlook deteriorate? Will QE3 become necessary? e How will the election outcome change fiscal policy deliberations? © Can politicians find an agreement to avoid sharp fiscal contraction in early 2013...
Summarizing, I(K,,),, optimum = Y optimum = C, , atthe collective scale, (A9.5) if free growth theory is correct. Ex ante investment and output mean at cost. They are what we pay for. The practical importance of (A9.5) is as a guide to macroeconomic policy. It says that we can...
Tax Policy: TRIP has a ~25% tax rate. Trump’s tax plan calls for a reduction in the business tax rate from 35% to 15%, with elimination of most corporate tax deductions/credits (except for the R&D credit). While it’s unclear what elements of the tax plan will eventually be execut...
profile investment outlook. Upside risks to our thesis could stem from more favorable changes to the investment and/or regulatory environment in New York. Downside/upside risks: ED, like all utility stocks, is also sensitive to changes in the market level of interest rates. Util...
With regard to growth in the energy book management expects balances to stay relatively flattish as new growth is offset by pay downs and deleveraging. Chart 44: Where do you see TCBI’s provisioning in 2017 relative to 2016? 50% AT% 45% 40% 35% 30% 29% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 16%...
Pandora (BUY, $9 PO) Stock view: Focus on on-demand product, but questions on growth Pandora’s recently launched on-demand subscription product will likely be the focus of 1Q investor call. Although the product is on limited release, we expect investor to focus on initial recep...
Match.com (Buy, $21 PO) Stock view: Positive on Tinder monetization growth on new products Match has continued to build monetization on Tinder and we expect a more widely released Tinder Boost as well as international marketing spend to have a positive impact in 1Q17 results. T...
growth = transfer in + positive unrealized output + plowback — decapitalization. (6.14a) (6.14a) can also be expressed as growth = transfer in + unrealized output + plowback — recovered decapitalization. (6.14b) For convenience, define gross transfer in = transfer in + plowbac...