…blican win in November 2016. IV.) Relying on voter turnout data this year versus earlier years and party selection, the Republicans have a large advantage coming into the Fall election. V.) Basing our forecast on the past eight years of Congressional elections—House and Senate—as...
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Steve Bannon believes the specter of impeachment will motivate mainstream Republicans as well as core Trump backers. Photo: J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press “This is all grass roots,” Mr. Bannon says. “It’s 2016 all over again... This is Trump’s first re-election.” The poli...
…ction-1","layout":"default-section","role":"section","type":"section"},{"components":[{"components":[{"caption":"Senior Republicans accused Democrats of running a “smear campaign” to derail Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh’s confirmation. Erin Schaff for The New York Times","captionCompo...
…few no-go areas, such as any ta incteases on “small busi- ness.” You may remember from previ- ous crises that the House Republicans oppose raising income ta es on the wealthy because it would impact strug- gling small businesses such as a hedge Gail Collins fund manager with an...
… US Presidential elections in 2004 involving Republican George W. Bush and Democrat John Kerry; during this period, the Republicans controlled both executive branches of the government. Each subject ⎯⎯ all college undergraduates ⎯⎯ provided information about party affiliation and...
…op 80 House members: Shutdown better than Obamacare Charles Babington — Associated Press More than one-third of House Republicans urged their leader Thursday to trigger a government shutdown rather than pay for the implementation of the health-care law they call Obamacare. Ale...
…op 80 House members: Shutdown better than Obamacare Charles Babington — Associated Press More than one-third of House Republicans urged their leader Thursday to trigger a government shutdown rather than pay for the implementation of the health-care law they call Obamacare. Ale...
Unsurprisingly, Democrats expressed more pleasure from reading about Bush’s bicycle accident, whereas Republicans were more joyful over Kerry’s bizarre space suit. Surprisingly, Democrats also expressed pleasure from reading about the economic downturn, and more pleasure than the...
…ober 2, 2014, | relied heavily on this Gallup question to arrive at my outlandish forecast of a seven seat gain for the Republicans in that years Senate races. My forecast of a seven seat pickup was probably the most optimistic forecast at the time for the Republicans. But, as it...
…e won if the Democrats had ended the war. And so, because it was in the mutual interest of the South Vietnamese and the Republicans to extend the war for several more years, we became the recipients of kickbacks from our own government’s aid to the Saigon government. I do not ask...
…lan to avoid it basically repeated the offer of a "balanced approach" — unspecified tax hikes and spending cuts — which Republicans have already rejected. Somewhat more substantively, he called for a larger deficit-reduction deal built around loophole-closing tax reform and what...
Financial Services Republicans’ retention of the House and Senate majorities means that President-elect Trump will have partners in both banking committees to help implement an agenda heavy on deregulation. The new Senate Banking Committee chairman will be Mike Crapo (R-ID), who...
…takeaways • #1 focus these days is tax reform - if they don't get it done by Jan 2018, it won't happen at all, and then Republicans would be out of a job when midterm elections come • ACA has to be completed first — and it was a mistake to tackle this before tax reform. Obamacare...
… the U.S. Senate, 2 Independents (Sanders VT and King ME) who always voted with and caucused with the Democrats, and 41 Republicans. Today, there are 54 Republicans, 44 Democrats plus the same 2 Independents who are effectively Democrats (see Table 5 below). Likewise, in January...
…day government shutdown in October happened because there was a spending and debt ceiling impasse between Democrats and Republicans. Although Republicans took much of the heat for the shutdown, it nevertheless seemed to reflect badly on everyone in Washington, and had wide-reachi...