prices have room to soften in the very short run (4-6 weeks). Copper
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and should allow the Brent price to stabilize in the USD 80.5 - 90/bbl range (WTI
the chance of further monetary easing (QE3) by the Fed - which is not our
diversified commodity indices are likely to decline in the
also due to recent policy easing in China
we think selected emerging market (EM) currencies
the main focus lies on Spain and on potential ECB
and should recover on the back of better risk sentiment. We
but the upside remains limited by expansive fed policy
moving towards 6.15 over the coming 12 months.
the AUD and NZD weakened within ranges from March to May. We expect
a rally in high yield bonds and a return to pre-crisis spreads of about
and the European recession turns out to be worse than currently
IG corporate bonds remain a preferred asset class
spreads are expected to remain above past averages.
supporting debt-burdened Eurozone countries in their
yields have traded range bound owing to conflicting economic data. The SNB stressed
economic data continues to be mixed as the recovery continues but is prone to external shocks.
we expect growth momentum to remain subdued but still in positive
market expectations regarding future rate hikes by the Fed have pushed out a first rate hike