as this analysis is based on companies’ 5-yr median
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roughly half of the gains from the lower tax rate would be retained (i.e. half
and no companies provisioned for US taxes on foreign
we estimate that the tax rate for the S&P
Tax Foundation separately breaks out estimates for full capex expensing (-$2236) and disallowing interest deduction
but it is important to consider corporate tax reform holistically
we focus on the following topics that have large implications for
where we estimate 70-90% of debt is long-term.
the benefit would turn to a negative over time (Table 2). We also
but at a higher 25% tax rate that would appease the deficit
we use House Speaker Paul Ryan’s Blueprint proposal as
funding and process by which corporate tax reform
corporate behavior and capital markets. Much
suggesting the timing could be imminent. Corporate tax reform could have
and there is evidence of widespread support in
we assume that 100% of the cash is repatriated and 50%
as well as industries most helped/hurt most by a BAT.
the removal of the interest expense deduction would
with border adjustments detracting $5-6 from 2018 EPS — nearly
this could add 3% ($4) to S&P 500 EPS. A redux of 2004 where companies