we feel that it is prudent that investors
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where r(t) is the return on day t. **Indicative mid prices; strikes as % of forward ***Negative values indicate that the bullish risk reversal takes in a credit.
the 15 below have liquid options. Notably
which is higher than equivalent flies ahead of
the agreement reached between major Italian parties on a
too quick: hedge a potential reversal using a Sep17
which is already subdued even for the current lowvol
extending into June as it printed 6 out of
similar to what we have become accustomed to over
NDX and INDU finished the week at all-time highs.
while Russell 2000 1y+ vols remained bid (Chart 19). Last week
volatility has once again collapsed (10d realized is at 4.6%) and the
in part driven by Tech market cap dominating the
the spread to realized correlation has remained healthy with the SPX Top50
as the basis risk has tended to be too high
we suggest 3M put spreads on NDX for two reasons: (i) our cross-asset
as basis risk runs too high with other assets
asset bubbles can be notoriously difficult to trade
‘95) the current bull run is still only half the size