moderate and heavy) to each age group of
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we believe penetration rates may ultimately be as high as (or
we expect U.S. penetration rates to increase as states implement new
penetration rates are impacted by the widely varying
with the 21–29 age group having the highest and the 70+ age group having the
we view the potential pool of eligible consumers to be virtually the entire U.S. adult
(ii) development (5) follows two years thereafter and (iii) development (6) occurs by 2027 and
but we believe that there is a reasonable chance development (4) could begin within
or all at once) and will be fully legal for medical and recreational purposes. (We expand
our methodology for forecasting the U.S. legalized
similar to other highly regulated industries such as alcohol
the implementation of which is scheduled to begin in January 2018.
pent-up consumer demand for legal cannabis in the United States
all had previously implemented medical laws.
the addressable market has been constrained due to the lack of access to purely
and only eight states have enacted recreational laws. While the overall state-legal market
we are starting to see closer price parity
with the implementation of California’s new recreational
U.S. Legal Landscape.) We believe that federal legalization will
medical cannabis in smokable and other forms has been legal since