the Assads have treated their chemical arsenal with considerable care. But as the country potentially descends into chaos
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trust me on this one). But the sooner they speak with one voice
the Syrian protest movement must do a better job organizing and convincing the world that it is more or less ready to take over once Assad falls. For that
short of bombing Damascus or sending arms. That all eyes are currently on Assad is certainly bad news for the dictator.
like their Egyptian and Tunisian counterparts before them
Qaddafis downfall might just be the necessary factor that will embolden the protesters and offer them a sizeable advantage. This is not naïve or farfetched. After all
they are extremely vulnerable and at the mercy of Assad’s tanks and security forces
but it is not without costs and risks. With external military assistance (if the West sends arms or launches another NATO aerial campaign)
Libyan protesters did not hesitate to ask for Western military intervention
the ruler of Syria is in deep trouble. It may be only a matter of time before Assad falls
and Russia and Syria enjoy historical relations
if an increasingly sectarian Syria splinters between the ruling Alawites
but we must be careful about accepting the narrative that the whole of Syria is demanding change. The largest cities of Aleppo and Damascus remain relatively calm
as Mr Assad defies the west with ease. As elsewhere in the Middle East
US president Barack Obama last week succumbed to calls from commentators and Syrian opposition leaders
mounting only limited attacks on Gaza against mostly members of the Palestinian Resistance Committees
a war Hezbollah has good reason to enter at such a stage and that Fatah does not want but could be forced into. Such a war could shift the Egyptian dynamic significantly to Hamas' advantage
we would expect Hamas to repeat its attacks to the point that Israel no longer could decline combat.
a conflict along the Lebanese border and a rising in the West Bank
as it showed the Islamic world that Syria was the only nation-state supporting effective resistance to Israel. It also showed Israel and the United States that Syria alone could control Hezbollah and that forcing Syria out of Lebanon was a....