South China Sea: making sense of
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Article 5.
The Japan Times
South China Sea: making sense of
nonsense
Mark Valencia
June 29 — After a series of aggressive incidents involving Chinese
patrol boats and subsequent soothing official statements, many
analysts are trying to figure out what is really going on.
More specifically, why have different sections of China's government
given mixed signals and chosen in nearly one fell swoop to embarrass
their own leaders, undermine China's carefully nurtured and
reasonably successful "charm offensive" toward the Association of
Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), and play right into the U.S.
strategy of convincing ASEAN nations that they need its protection
from a bullying China?
In China, has the political train left the station and are ASEAN
nations thus just changing seats or cars on the train?
We are talking here not just about blatant violations of the solemnly
agreed Declaration on Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea
(DOC) — all parties are guilty of that — but also of contradicting, by
poorly timed actions, the words of leaders. When Chinese Defense
Minister General Liang Guanglie was telling the Shangri-la Dialogue
on June 3 in Singapore that "China is committed to maintaining
peace and stability in the South China Sea" and that "China stood by"
the DOC, news media were reporting that on May 26 a Vietnamese
survey ship operating on its claimed continental shelf had its seismic
cables cut by a Chinese patrol boat.
Shortly after that event China sent two vice chairmen of the Central
Military Commission to Southeast Asia to try to reassure other
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