states will worry that the United States
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states will worry that the United States
would be deterred from coming to their
defense in future regional crises by Iran's
nuclear weapons.
Saudi Arabia and other Arab states are
likely to see nuclear weapons as a quick
fix for all of their security woes.
Although they have been on a shopping
spree in the past decade, buying
expensive and sophisticated Western
military technology, they have had a
tough time absorbing the new technology
and fully utilizing and integrating
weapons systems. To be sure, in a rough
net assessment, Saudi Arabia and its
allies in the Gulf have significantly
greater conventional capabilities than
Iran. But if Iran goes nuclear, they will
want to follow suit.
* Kk
Americans may be weary of conflict in
the Middle East and South Asia, but
strategic prudence demands that we
contemplate future military interventions
in the Central Command theater. A scan
of the horizon reveals that both political
and military trends in the region pose
formidable obstacles to conventional
force surges into the region.
But there is another wrinkle in this story
that U.S. policymakers must contend with
as they plan for the future. As Gulf
monarchies seek to reduce their
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