Saudi Arabia. When Saudi Arabia wanted
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Saudi Arabia. When Saudi Arabia wanted
American forces removed from the
kingdom, for example, Qatar was eager
to compensate by hosting a more robust
American command presence in the
region.
The Arab uprisings and subsequent GCC
intervention in Bahrain have turned the
tables, making Saudi security backing a
necessity for the smaller Gulf
monarchies. From their perspective,
American forces are clearly more capable
than Saudi forces, but given the
alignment of their interests, Riyadh is a
more reliable security partner. Gulf
leaders and military commanders in the
coming decade will be focused on how to
avoid following in Mubarak's footsteps.
Part of minimizing that risk will involve
decreasing security dependency on the
United States. Gulf leaders have to worry
that if push comes to shove, the
Americans will throw them under a bus
just like they did to Mubarak.
* K
If the political dynamics in the Middle
East and South Asia do not favor further
American military intervention in the
future, neither do the emerging military
trends. The proliferation of supersonic
cruise missiles and mines in the region
will make for nasty forced entries into
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_029719
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