d> 5. These are the same condition needed for CWL and ONLYL, respectively, and
Epstein Suite indexes the text; the original document lives at its official source. We don't host the original file — view it on the official release to read it in full.
View the original on the official releaseDocument text
Text is machine OCR and may contain errors. Confirm against the original source above.
d> 5. These are the same condition needed for CWL and ONLYL, respectively, and,
as discussed above, these ranges is strictly smaller than the range of values over which
CWOL is an equilibrium.
To summarize, CWOL can occur in equilibrium, and this equilibrium is subgame per-
fect, is stable, and has a sizable basin of attraction in the replicator dynamics. Moreover,
we expect player 2 to prefer interacting with player 1s who do not look and player 1s to
actively avoid looking when defection is harmful and the temptation to defect is usually
small but sometimes huge. Finally, under these conditions, cooperation can be sustained
only if player 1 can avoid looking and player 2 can observe whether player 1 looks.
While we modeled player 1 looking at the temptation to defect, we could analogously
have modeled player 1 looking at the benefits to cooperating. This can be interpreted as
looking to see if anyone is watching, asking what one will get, or calculating the value of
the ongoing relationship. In this and some similar cases, the modifications to the model
would be straightforward and analysis would be equivalent.
We now apply the model to shed light on a number of interesting phenomena, including
why we dislike “flip-flopping” politicians and respect principled people more generally, why
people cooperate intuitively, why people feel disgust when considering taboo trade-offs,
and why people fall in love.
We trust candidates for political office whose policies are the result of their convictions
and are consistent over time, and distrust those whose policies are carefully constructed
in consultation with their pollsters and who “flip-flop” in response to public opinion, as
caricatured by the infamous 2004 Republican presidential campaign television ad showing
John Kerry wind-surfing, and tacking from one direction to another. At first glance, this
seems irrational: one would think it a virtue for a politician to flexibly respond to public
opinion once in office. This logic is illustrated by John Maynard Keynes’ famous quote:
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_026529
Have a question about what this document contains?
Ask the documents