The National Interest
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Article 4.
The National Interest
Foreign-Policy Failure
Dimitri K. Simes
August 24, 2011 -- PRESIDENT BARACK Obama is in many
respects the opposite of Richard Nixon and George H. W. Bush, both
foreign-policy presidents who subordinated their domestic ambitions
to America’s national-security requirements. Moreover, where
Obama has succeeded internationally, his successes have been largely
tactical rather than strategic, reflecting the fact that he 1s
fundamentally a domestic leader with a European-style socialist
agenda but little or no foreign-policy vision. This lack of an
international agenda is why the president may be called a pragmatist,
but not a realist.
One result of all this is that his administration’s foreign-policy
choices often appear substantially driven by political expediency—
and particularly a desire to avoid domestic criticism, something
apparent in both the president’s surge in Afghanistan and his later
plan for withdrawal. Another is that, lacking a vision, the
administration rarely appears to engage in long-term thinking about
the international environment, historical processes or the potential
unintended consequences of its choices. In fact, its sense of history
seems highly politicized and simplistic.
Short-term political thinking about foreign policy cannot sustain
America’s international leadership, which requires clear distinctions
between immediate tactical problems and longer-term strategic
threats. Today, most analysts agree that the greatest danger to the
United States is not from Iran, which does not yet have nuclear
weapons, or even al-Qaeda, which has been seriously damaged, but
rather from Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal. Maintaining the Pakistani
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