Focus on Revenues —
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Focus on Revenues —
Drive Sustainable Economic Growth + Change Tax Policies
Focus on
Revenues
Invest in Technology / Infrastructure / Education
Drive Sustainable
Economic Increase / Improve Employment
SL Improve Competitiveness
Consider Review Tax Rates
Changing MEE Reduce Subsidies / Tax Expenditures*/
eee Broaden Tax Base
Note: *Tax subsidies / expenditures are losses to the U.S. Treasury from granting certain deductions, exemptions, or credits (such
i as those on mortgage interest payments and employer-sponsored health insurance payments) to specific categories of taxpayers.
www.kpcb.com
USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 355
GDP Growth =
Biggest Driver of Federal Revenue Growth...& 85% Correlation
1940 — 2009 Historical Correlation Between USA Real GDP Y/Y 2010E — 2019E
& Real Federal Receipts Y/Y = 85% If Real Real Federal
60% | © Real GDP Y/Y vs. Real Federal Receipts Y/Y 7 GDP Revenue
; ; YY is Could Grow...
— -Linear Trendline (y=2.77x-0.0438, R42=0.73) 4
” ee a 7 5% 7%
= 7 4 5
= 40% - Z 7 a 3 2
2 7 ; 2 0
7 7
3 r 7 . 1 -2
ac Y 7 0 -4
@
Z 20% - 7 -1 -7
te eo 4 J 4
we P ¥ 2 9
a © 7 -3 -11
w e e
¥ e -4, -13
38% ja
5% © one 5% 40% 15% 20% 25%
e
Os € Current Consensus
a 7 / GDP Forecasts
7 Real GDP Y/Y (%)
7 ®
-20% —
bs Data source: White House Office of Management & Budget (1940 — 2009).
(@E) www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | What Might a Turnaround Expert Consider? 356
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_021019
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