Pyongyang, North Korea, is home to the largest stadium in the world with a seating capacity of over
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Pyongyang, North Korea, is home to the largest stadium in the world with a seating capacity of over 114,000.
to release Chey Tae- Won accelerated the demise of her political
career. Ironically, she finds herself in prison awaiting trial while
the Korean stock market continues to trade at a discount to
peers. In addition, MSCI Korea’s relative valuation is also
suppressed by the mercurial behavior of North Korea whose
recent missile tests have dominated global headlines.
A truly embarrassing South Korean political scandal emerged
in the fall of 2016 when a journalist discovered a computer
belonging to a personal confidant of President Park Geun-Hye.
The contents of the device, belonging to Choi Soon-Sil, revealed
that she had access to confidential presidential documents
including speeches that were ultimately altered and influenced
by Ms. Choi Soon-Sil. In the weeks following this revelation,
the mighty chaebols of Samsung, Lotte and SK were once again
linked to the current political impropriety. It is alleged that
members of these chaebols (among others) were coerced into
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contributing large sums of money to a foundation established
by Ms. Choi Soon-Sil in order to maintain a positive relationship
with President Park Geun-Hye.
The Korean stock market languished as a result of President
Park Geun-Hye’s miscues as shown in CHART 2. The performance
of the MSCI Korea Index starting from the beginning of
President Park Geun-Hye’s term was down 25% by late August
2015, which coincided with Mr. Chey Tae-Won’s pardon in the
week prior. The Korean market drastically underperformed the
MSCI Asia ex. Japan Index which was down 14% and the MSCI
ACWI Index which was up about 9% during that period.
Korea's recursive political environment was frustrating for
many Koreans. It is widely believed that chaebols sapped the
entrepreneurial vigor of small business owners and young
adults who were experiencing unemployment rates of over 9%.
However, the decision to impeach President Park Geun-Hye on
CHART 2: PERFORMANCE SINCE PARK GEUN-HYE INAUGURATION
130
120
110
100 We
90 NAY
80 yw?
SK Chairman Pardoned
70
PESSTERP RSQ ST PSESSTERP KROES TE PESETER KOZ
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Np N ON NN NBN NYnwp NVQ On NUN NY BN Nn ND on NM NY NN
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Ge = MSCI KOREA MSCl ACWI Me VISCI ASIA EX. JAPAN Source: Bloomberg
GLOBAL FORESIGHT THIRD QUAPTEP 2017 141
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_012089
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