where as before 7 is the time that elapses between «“) and x). The MRS in exchange between
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by
MRSp = e” (1)
where as before 7 is the time that elapses between «“) and x). The MRS in exchange between
present and future consumption is the ratio at which present and future consumption can be ex-
changed by borrowing and lending. It is related to the interest rate 7 by
dn)
where W is wealth and the derivative is taken along a line of constant wealth, that is, along the
solid market line in figure 1. The MRS in fitness is defined by
de)
dh)
where the derivative is taken along a line of constant fitness fF’. In equilibrium, all these versions
of the MRS must be equal.
=e" (2)
W constant
MRS;p = — (3)
F constant
2.2 Finding the MRS in fitness
The evolutionary theory of time preference is complicated by the possibility that the returns from
an investment may increase the Darwinian fitness of the investor’s daughter (or other relative)
rather than that of the investor herself. This makes it necessary to use the evolutionary theory of
“kin selection,” which deals with interactions between relatives [9, 10].
The particular model used here was developed in another context [14], and its application to the
economic problem of time preference is discussed elsewhere [15]. Rather than repeat that material
here, I shall simply state the relevant results.
2.2.1 Results from the evolutionary theory of kin selection
The theory supposes that one individual (the donor or investor) undertakes an investment that has
an immediate effect on himself, but a delayed effect on a second individual (the recipient). The
donor and recipient may or may not be the same individual. The donor undertakes his action at age
z) and the recipient is affected after 7 time units, when the recipient’s age is a), This interaction
changes from P to P©) + AP the donor’s probability of surviving from age x to x + de.
The donor’s fertility during this same interval is changed from m™ to m® + Am™. Similarly,
the interaction changes from P®) to P®?) + AP©) the recipient’s probability of surviving from age
2) toc) +. da. The recipient’s fertility during this interval is changed from m®) tom +Am®),
The effect of this interaction on Darwinian fitness are summarized in table 1, which is adapted
from table 1 of [14]. Unlike the table used in my earlier work on time preference [15], this one
includes effects on fertility as well as on mortality. In the table, r denotes the coefficient of rela-
tionship between donor and recipient,” the subscripts D and R indicate the sex of the donor and of
*Wright’s coefficient of relationship [5, pp. 69, 137-138] can be interpreted as the fraction of their genes that two
individuals can expect to hold in common. It equals 1 if the donor and recipient are the same individual, 1/2 if the
recipient is an offspring, 1/4 if a grandchild, and so forth.
HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_011159
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